Value bet: Breno to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOltrepò to win ✓41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.68
Oltrepò vs Breno: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Breno travel to face Oltrepò on Sunday 29 March in the Serie D Girone B, with Stadio Comunale the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.
Current form
Oltrepò, last 4: LLWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Scanzorosciate, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Breno, last 4: LDLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Folgore Caratese, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Oltrepò, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Breno.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Oltrepò 1.2 xG, Breno 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Oltrepò 41%, draw 26%, Breno 33%.
Price worth noting: Breno to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oltrepò 1–1 Breno. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Oltrepò41%fair 2.45 · @2.00
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.20
Breno33%fair 3.02 · @3.30
2.46Expected goals
1.21Oltrepò xG
1.25Breno xG
46%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Oltrepò 1.2 – 1.3 Breno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oltrepò to win✓
41%
2.45
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
–
Draw no bet
Oltrepò (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Oltrepò +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Breno to score first✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Breno / FT Breno✗
21%
4.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.68
–
Recent results
Oltrepò – last 4
LLWD
22 Mar
@ Scanzorosciate
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Milan II
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Caldiero Terme
4–2
W
15 Feb
@ Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Breno – last 4
LDLD
22 Mar
vs Folgore Caratese
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Caldiero Terme
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Scanzorosciate
0–3
L
22 Feb
vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oltrepò and Breno.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Oltrepò vs Breno?
On our numbers Oltrepò have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Breno 33%.
How many goals will there be in Oltrepò vs Breno?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oltrepò vs Breno?
Our predicted score is Oltrepò 1–1 Breno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Oltrepò vs Breno?
Oltrepò vs Breno (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Brusaporto0
Chievo1
Castellanzese1
Scanzorosciate2
Villa Valle0
USD Casatese1