Value bet: Chievo to win @ 2.45 – our chance 45% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultChievo to win ✓45% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓11% · fair 8.95
Brusaporto vs Chievo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Brusaporto welcome Chievo to Campo Sportivo Comunale Brusaporto for a Serie D Girone B fixture on Sunday 29 March (14:00 WAT). In the table, Brusaporto are 16th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 11 matches; Chievo are 1st (leading the league) with 25. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Brusaporto, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Virtus Ciserano Bergamo, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Chievo, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Real Calepina, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Brusaporto 1.1 xG, Chievo 1.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Brusaporto 31%, draw 24%, Chievo 45%.
Price worth noting: Chievo to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brusaporto 1–1 Chievo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Brusaporto31%fair 3.24 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.30
Chievo45%fair 2.20 · @2.45
2.66Expected goals
1.06Brusaporto xG
1.59Chievo xG
50%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Brusaporto 1.1 – 1.6 Chievo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chievo to win✓
45%
2.20
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
–
Draw no bet
Chievo (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Brusaporto +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Chievo to score first✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chievo / FT Chievo✗
30%
3.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
11%
8.95
–
Recent results
Brusaporto – last 5
LLDWL
22 Mar
@ Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Leon Monza e Brianza
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ USD Casatese
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Castellanzese
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Pavia
0–1
L
0.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Chievo – last 3
LWL
15 Mar
@ Real Calepina
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Sondrio
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Folgore Caratese
1–4
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brusaporto and Chievo.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Brusaporto vs Chievo?
On our numbers Brusaporto have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chievo 45%.
How many goals will there be in Brusaporto vs Chievo?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brusaporto vs Chievo?
Our predicted score is Brusaporto 1–1 Chievo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Brusaporto vs Chievo?
Brusaporto vs Chievo (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Sportivo Comunale Brusaporto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Oltrepò2
Breno0
Castellanzese1
USD Casatese1