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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Villa Valle v USD Casatese: numbers & prediction

Serie D Girone B · Italy · Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè
0–1
FT
Villa Valle 37%Draw 27%USD Casatese 36% Expected goals 1.23 – 1.14
57%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.75 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultVilla Valle to win ✗37% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.69

Villa Valle vs USD Casatese: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Villa Valle welcome USD Casatese to Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè for a Serie D Girone B fixture on Sunday 29 March (14:00 WAT).

Current form

Villa Valle, last 4: DWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Pavia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

USD Casatese, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Varesina, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Villa Valle, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for USD Casatese.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Villa Valle 1.2 xG, USD Casatese 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 45%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Villa Valle 37%, draw 27%, USD Casatese 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villa Valle 1–1 USD Casatese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Villa Valle37%fair 2.70 · @2.55
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.20
USD Casatese36%fair 2.78 · @2.45
2.37Expected goals
1.23Villa Valle xG
1.14USD Casatese xG
45%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Villa Valle 1.2 – 1.1 USD Casatese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVilla Valle to win ✗37%2.702.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.80–
Draw no betVilla Valle (draw no bet) ✗51%1.97–
Asian handicapUSD Casatese +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗68%1.46–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.751.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreVilla Valle to score first ✗47%2.13–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Villa Valle / FT Villa Valle ✗22%4.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.69–

Recent results

Villa Valle – last 4

DWWL
15 Marvs Pavia0–0D
1 Mar@ Leon Monza e Brianza2–1W
22 Febvs Vogherese2–0W
15 Feb@ Castellanzese0–2L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

USD Casatese – last 5

LLDDW
22 Marvs Varesina0–1L
15 Mar@ Sondrio1–3L
1 Marvs Brusaporto1–1D
22 Feb@ Folgore Caratese1–1D
15 Febvs Real Calepina1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Villa Valle and USD Casatese.

Villa Valle vs USD Casatese head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Chievo11812+1625
2Nibbiano & Valtidone11812+925
3Milan II11722+623
4Piacenza11632+1021
5Leon11632+621
6Caldiero Terme11533+318
7Villa Valle11452+517
8Pavonese11443-116
9Scanzorosciate11353014
10Pro Palazzolo11425-514
11Real Calepina11344-413
12Virtus Verona11335-512
13Club Milano11326-411
14Rovato Vertovese11245-310
15Virtus Ciserano Bergamo11245-510
16Brusaporto11308-109
17Fiorenzuola11137-86
18Tritium11137-106

More Serie D Girone B predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Villa Valle vs USD Casatese?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Villa Valle vs USD Casatese?

On our numbers Villa Valle have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and USD Casatese 36%.

How many goals will there be in Villa Valle vs USD Casatese?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Villa Valle vs USD Casatese?

Our predicted score is Villa Valle 1–1 USD Casatese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Villa Valle vs USD Casatese?

Villa Valle vs USD Casatese (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.