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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Caldiero Terme v Villa Valle: numbers & prediction

Serie D Girone B · Italy · Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini
1–1
FT
Caldiero Terme 44%Draw 26%Villa Valle 30% Expected goals 1.38 – 1.10
55%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.82 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultCaldiero Terme to win ✗44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.69

Caldiero Terme vs Villa Valle: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Villa Valle travel to face Caldiero Terme on Sunday 19 April in the Serie D Girone B, with Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Caldiero Terme are 6th, upper half, on 18 points after 11 matches; Villa Valle are 7th (upper half) with 17. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Caldiero Terme, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Brusaporto, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Villa Valle, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Milan II, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Villa Valle, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Caldiero Terme.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Caldiero Terme 1.4 xG, Villa Valle 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Caldiero Terme 44%, draw 26%, Villa Valle 30%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caldiero Terme 1–1 Villa Valle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Caldiero Terme44%fair 2.28 · @2.10
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.30
Villa Valle30%fair 3.28 · @3.00
2.48Expected goals
1.38Caldiero Terme xG
1.10Villa Valle xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%

From our goals model: Caldiero Terme 1.4 – 1.1 Villa Valle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCaldiero Terme to win ✗44%2.282.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.351.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.96–
Draw no betCaldiero Terme (draw no bet)59%1.69–
Asian handicapVilla Valle +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.821.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreCaldiero Terme to score first51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Caldiero Terme / FT Caldiero Terme ✗25%3.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.69–

Recent results

Caldiero Terme – last 6

LWDLLL
2 Aprvs Brusaporto1–2L
22 Marvs Real Calepina3–1W
15 Mar@ Breno1–1D
1 Marvs Oltrepò2–4L
22 Febvs Milan II0–3L
15 Feb@ Scanzorosciate0–1L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Villa Valle – last 6

DLDWWL
2 Apr@ Milan II1–1D
29 Marvs USD Casatese0–1L
15 Marvs Pavia0–0D
1 Mar@ Leon Monza e Brianza2–1W
22 Febvs Vogherese2–0W
15 Feb@ Castellanzese0–2L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Caldiero Terme and Villa Valle.

Caldiero Terme vs Villa Valle head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Chievo11812+1625
2Nibbiano & Valtidone11812+925
3Milan II11722+623
4Piacenza11632+1021
5Leon11632+621
6Caldiero Terme11533+318
7Villa Valle11452+517
8Pavonese11443-116
9Scanzorosciate11353014
10Pro Palazzolo11425-514
11Real Calepina11344-413
12Virtus Verona11335-512
13Club Milano11326-411
14Rovato Vertovese11245-310
15Virtus Ciserano Bergamo11245-510
16Brusaporto11308-109
17Fiorenzuola11137-86
18Tritium11137-106

More Serie D Girone B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Caldiero Terme vs Villa Valle?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Caldiero Terme vs Villa Valle?

On our numbers Caldiero Terme have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Villa Valle 30%.

How many goals will there be in Caldiero Terme vs Villa Valle?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Caldiero Terme vs Villa Valle?

Our predicted score is Caldiero Terme 1–1 Villa Valle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Caldiero Terme vs Villa Valle?

Caldiero Terme vs Villa Valle (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.