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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chievo v Castellanzese: numbers & prediction

Serie D Girone B · Italy · Sinergy Stadium

Chievo

WWLWL
2–2
FT
Chievo 57%Draw 23%Castellanzese 20% Expected goals 1.74 – 0.97
57%
Betarazi pick

Chievo to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultChievo to win ✗57% · @1.73
Double chanceChievo or draw ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23

Chievo vs Castellanzese: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 19 April the Serie D Girone B brings Chievo against Castellanzese at Sinergy Stadium. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT.

Current form

Chievo, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Vogherese, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Castellanzese, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to USD Casatese, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Chievo, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Castellanzese.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chievo 1.7 xG, Castellanzese 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chievo 57%, draw 23%, Castellanzese 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Chievo or draw (80%) at 1.17.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Chievo to win (57%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chievo 1–0 Castellanzese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chievo57%fair 1.76 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.50
Castellanzese20%fair 5.00 · @4.00
2.71Expected goals
1.74Chievo xG
0.97Castellanzese xG
50%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%

From our goals model: Chievo 1.7 – 1.0 Castellanzese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChievo to win ✗57%1.761.73
Double chanceChievo or draw ✓80%1.251.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%2.00–
Draw no betChievo (draw no bet)74%1.35–
Asian handicapCastellanzese +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.941.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreChievo to score first60%1.67–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chievo / FT Chievo ✗34%2.91–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.23–

Recent results

Chievo – last 5

WWLWL
2 Aprvs Vogherese4–1W
29 Mar@ Brusaporto1–0W
15 Mar@ Real Calepina0–1L
1 Marvs Sondrio1–0W
15 Febvs Folgore Caratese1–4L
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Castellanzese – last 6

LLLDWL
2 Apr@ USD Casatese0–1L
29 Marvs Scanzorosciate1–2L
22 Mar@ Pavia0–1L
18 Mar@ Varesina2–2D
1 Marvs Vogherese1–0W
22 Feb@ Brusaporto0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chievo and Castellanzese.

Chievo vs Castellanzese head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Chievo11812+1625
2Nibbiano & Valtidone11812+925
3Milan II11722+623
4Piacenza11632+1021
5Leon11632+621
6Caldiero Terme11533+318
7Villa Valle11452+517
8Pavonese11443-116
9Scanzorosciate11353014
10Pro Palazzolo11425-514
11Real Calepina11344-413
12Virtus Verona11335-512
13Club Milano11326-411
14Rovato Vertovese11245-310
15Virtus Ciserano Bergamo11245-510
16Brusaporto11308-109
17Fiorenzuola11137-86
18Tritium11137-106

More Serie D Girone B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chievo vs Castellanzese?

Our pick is Chievo to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Chievo vs Castellanzese?

On our numbers Chievo have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Castellanzese 20%.

How many goals will there be in Chievo vs Castellanzese?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chievo vs Castellanzese?

Our predicted score is Chievo 1–0 Castellanzese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Chievo vs Castellanzese?

Chievo vs Castellanzese (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Sinergy Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.