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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Imolese v Desenzano Calvina: numbers & prediction

Serie D Girone D · Italy · Stadio Romeo Galli

Imolese

WWLLL
0–1
FT

Desenzano Calvina

WDWWD
Imolese 24%Draw 28%Desenzano Calvina 47% Expected goals 0.98 – 1.20
59%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultDesenzano Calvina to win ✓47% · @1.62
Double chanceDesenzano Calvina or draw ✓76% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓14% · fair 7.38

Imolese vs Desenzano Calvina: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Desenzano Calvina travel to face Imolese on Sunday 19 April in the Serie D Girone D, with Stadio Romeo Galli the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.

Current form

Imolese, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Cittadella Vis Modena, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Desenzano Calvina, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Coriano, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Desenzano Calvina, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Imolese.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Imolese 1.0 xG, Desenzano Calvina 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 59% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Imolese 24%, draw 28%, Desenzano Calvina 47%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Imolese 0–1 Desenzano Calvina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Imolese24%fair 4.14 · @5.00
Draw28%fair 3.51 · @3.40
Desenzano Calvina47%fair 2.11 · @1.62
2.18Expected goals
0.98Imolese xG
1.20Desenzano Calvina xG
44%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%

From our goals model: Imolese 1.0 – 1.2 Desenzano Calvina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDesenzano Calvina to win ✓47%2.111.62
Double chanceDesenzano Calvina or draw ✓76%1.321.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓56%1.80–
Draw no betDesenzano Calvina (draw no bet) ✓66%1.51–
Asian handicapImolese +1 (Asian handicap)77%1.30–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.691.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.21–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreDesenzano Calvina to score first ✓49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Desenzano Calvina / FT Desenzano Calvina ✓23%4.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓14%7.38–

Recent results

Imolese – last 5

WWLLL
2 Aprvs Cittadella Vis Modena2–0W
29 Mar@ Pro Sesto4–2W
15 Mar@ Sant'Angelo0–2L
1 Marvs Trevigliese0–1L
22 Feb@ Lentigione0–4L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Desenzano Calvina – last 6

WDWWDW
8 Apr@ Coriano1–0W
2 Apr@ Rovato Vertovese1–1D
22 Marvs Cittadella Vis Modena1–0W
15 Mar@ Pro Sesto2–1W
1 Marvs Crema0–0D
22 Feb@ Sant'Angelo2–1W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Imolese and Desenzano Calvina.

Imolese vs Desenzano Calvina head-to-head page →

More Serie D Girone D predictions

League hub
FT Pistoiese0 Coriano1 178%1.12X16%7.0026%19.00 2.2–0.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 54%@1.62 ✗
FT Sasso Marconi Zola2 Rovato Vertovese1 135%2.88X25%3.10239%2.25 1.3–1.3xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 57%@1.53 ✗
FT Correggese1 Trevigliese1 153%1.65X25%3.50221%4.50 1.6–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 53%@1.73 ✓
FT Lentigione1 Progresso2 165%1.50X21%3.60213%5.75 1.9–0.7xG 1Lentigione to win 65%@1.50 ✗
FT Pro Palazzolo2 Crema1 158%1.33X23%4.33219%7.50 1.6–1.0xG 1Pro Palazzolo to win 58%@1.33 ✓
FT Piacenza3 Pro Sesto1 156%1.85X24%3.40220%3.60 1.7–1.0xG 1XPiacenza or draw 80%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Imolese vs Desenzano Calvina?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Imolese vs Desenzano Calvina?

On our numbers Imolese have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Desenzano Calvina 47%.

How many goals will there be in Imolese vs Desenzano Calvina?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Imolese vs Desenzano Calvina?

Our predicted score is Imolese 0–1 Desenzano Calvina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Imolese vs Desenzano Calvina?

Imolese vs Desenzano Calvina (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Romeo Galli.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.