Pistoiese v Coriano Prediction & Expected Goals (19 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPistoiese to win ✗78% · @1.12

Double chancePistoiese or draw ✗94% · fair 1.06

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.71

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33

Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗12% · fair 8.18

Pistoiese vs Coriano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Pistoiese welcome Coriano to Stadio Marcello Melani for a Serie D Girone D fixture on Sunday 19 April (14:00 WAT). In the table, Pistoiese are 1st, leading the league, on 28 points after 11 matches; Coriano are 15th (lower half) with 9. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Pistoiese, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Crema, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.6 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Coriano, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Desenzano Calvina, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Pistoiese, collecting 2.6 points per game to 0.4 for Coriano.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Pistoiese 2.2 xG, Coriano 0.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 41%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Pistoiese 78%, draw 16%, Coriano 6%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pistoiese 3–0 Coriano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Pistoiese78%fair 1.28 · @1.12

Draw16%fair 6.28 · @7.00

Coriano6%fair 16.89 · @19.00

2.69Expected goals

2.21Pistoiese xG

0.48Coriano xG

41%Both score

54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–017%

1–015%

3–012%

2–18%

1–17%

4–07%

From our goals model: Pistoiese 2.2 – 0.5 Coriano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Pistoiese to win ✗	78%	1.28	1.12
Double chance	Pistoiese or draw ✗	94%	1.06	–
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	59%	1.71	–
Draw no bet	Pistoiese (draw no bet) ✗	93%	1.08	–
Asian handicap	Pistoiese -1 (Asian handicap) ✗	70%	1.43	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	75%	1.33	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	54%	1.84	1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	72%	1.40	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	86%	1.16	–
First team to score	Pistoiese to score first ✗	77%	1.30	–
Half-time result	Pistoiese ahead at half-time ✗	55%	1.82	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Pistoiese / FT Pistoiese ✗	52%	1.92	–
Correct score	Correct score 3–0 ✗	12%	8.18	–

Pistoiese – last 5

WWDWW

3 Apr	vs Crema	4–2	W
29 Mar	@ Sant'Angelo	3–1	W
25 Mar	@ Lentigione	1–1	D
22 Feb	@ Correggese	3–0	W
18 Feb	vs Ancona	2–0	W

2.6Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

60%Both scored

60%Over 2.5

Coriano – last 5

LDLDL

8 Apr	vs Desenzano Calvina	0–1	L
2 Apr	@ Sangiuliano City	3–3	D
22 Mar	@ Rovato Vertovese	0–1	L
15 Mar	vs Sasso Marconi Zola	1–1	D
22 Feb	@ Pro Sesto	1–2	L

1.0Scored / game

1.6Conceded / game

60%Both scored

40%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pistoiese	11	9	1	1	+19	28
2	Lentigione	11	7	3	1	+8	24
3	Pro Patria	11	6	3	2	+7	21
4	Castellanzese	11	6	1	4	+8	19
5	USD Casatese	11	6	1	4	+1	19
6	Pro Sesto	11	5	3	3	+12	18
7	Cittadella Vis Modena	11	5	2	4	+3	17
8	Solbiatese	11	4	5	2	+2	17
9	Sant'Angelo	11	4	3	4	0	15
10	Crema	11	4	3	4	-3	15
11	Città di Varese	11	3	5	3	+4	14
12	Pavia	11	3	5	3	+3	14
13	Correggese	11	3	3	5	-7	12
14	Varesina	11	2	5	4	-2	11
15	Coriano	11	2	3	6	-5	9
16	Pontedera	11	2	1	8	-16	7
17	Arconatese	11	1	3	7	-15	6
18	Oltrepò	11	1	2	8	-19	5

Team

Pts

+19

+12

Cittadella Vis Modena

-3

-7

-2

-5

-16

-15

-19

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pistoiese vs Coriano?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Pistoiese vs Coriano?

On our numbers Pistoiese have a 78% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Coriano 6%.

How many goals will there be in Pistoiese vs Coriano?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pistoiese vs Coriano?

Our predicted score is Pistoiese 3–0 Coriano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Pistoiese vs Coriano?

Pistoiese vs Coriano (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Marcello Melani.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Pistoiese v Coriano: numbers & prediction