Lentigione v Progresso Prediction & Expected Goals (19 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultLentigione to win ✗65% · @1.50

Double chanceLentigione or draw ✗87% · @1.10

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.74

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.83

Lentigione vs Progresso: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 19 April the Serie D Girone D brings Lentigione against Progresso at Immergas Stadium - Levantini. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT.

Current form

Lentigione, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sasso Marconi Zola, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Progresso, last 4: WLLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Tuttocuoio, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Lentigione, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Progresso.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lentigione 1.9 xG, Progresso 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 42%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Lentigione 65%, draw 21%, Progresso 13%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Lentigione to win (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lentigione 1–0 Progresso. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lentigione65%fair 1.53 · @1.50

Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.60

Progresso13%fair 7.50 · @5.75

2.54Expected goals

1.85Lentigione xG

0.69Progresso xG

42%Both score

46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%

2–014%

1–110%

2–19%

3–08%

0–08%

From our goals model: Lentigione 1.9 – 0.7 Progresso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Lentigione to win ✗	65%	1.53	1.50
Double chance	Lentigione or draw ✗	87%	1.15	1.10
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	58%	1.74	–
Draw no bet	Lentigione (draw no bet) ✗	83%	1.20	–
Asian handicap	Lentigione -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	65%	1.53	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	72%	1.39	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	54%	1.84	1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	75%	1.33	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	89%	1.13	–
First team to score	Lentigione to score first	67%	1.49	–
Half-time result	Lentigione ahead at half-time ✗	46%	2.18	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Lentigione / FT Lentigione ✗	41%	2.41	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	15%	6.83	–

Lentigione – last 6

WWDDWW

2 Apr	@ Sasso Marconi Zola	2–1	W
29 Mar	vs Piacenza	3–1	W
25 Mar	vs Pistoiese	1–1	D
22 Mar	@ Correggese	1–1	D
1 Mar	@ Pro Palazzolo	2–1	W
22 Feb	vs Imolese	4–0	W

2.2Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Progresso – last 4

WLLD

2 Apr	@ Tuttocuoio	2–0	W
22 Mar	@ Piacenza	0–3	L
15 Mar	vs Sangiuliano City	0–1	L
22 Feb	vs Rovato Vertovese	0–0	D

0.5Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

0%Both scored

25%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pistoiese	11	9	1	1	+19	28
2	Lentigione	11	7	3	1	+8	24
3	Pro Patria	11	6	3	2	+7	21
4	Castellanzese	11	6	1	4	+8	19
5	USD Casatese	11	6	1	4	+1	19
6	Pro Sesto	11	5	3	3	+12	18
7	Cittadella Vis Modena	11	5	2	4	+3	17
8	Solbiatese	11	4	5	2	+2	17
9	Sant'Angelo	11	4	3	4	0	15
10	Crema	11	4	3	4	-3	15
11	Città di Varese	11	3	5	3	+4	14
12	Pavia	11	3	5	3	+3	14
13	Correggese	11	3	3	5	-7	12
14	Varesina	11	2	5	4	-2	11
15	Coriano	11	2	3	6	-5	9
16	Pontedera	11	2	1	8	-16	7
17	Arconatese	11	1	3	7	-15	6
18	Oltrepò	11	1	2	8	-19	5

Team

Pts

+19

+12

Cittadella Vis Modena

-3

-7

-2

-5

-16

-15

-19

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lentigione vs Progresso?

Our pick is Lentigione to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Lentigione vs Progresso?

On our numbers Lentigione have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Progresso 13%.

How many goals will there be in Lentigione vs Progresso?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lentigione vs Progresso?

Our predicted score is Lentigione 1–0 Progresso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Lentigione vs Progresso?

Lentigione vs Progresso (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Immergas Stadium - Levantini.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Lentigione v Progresso: numbers & prediction