San Donato Tavarnelle 39%Draw 29%Foligno Calcio 33%Expected goals 1.15 – 0.96
63%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultSan Donato Tavarnelle to win ✓39% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.13
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Foligno Calcio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 19 April: San Donato Tavarnelle v Foligno Calcio in the Serie D Girone E, played at Stadio Comunale Pianigiani.
Current form
San Donato Tavarnelle, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cannara, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Foligno Calcio, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Foligno Calcio, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for San Donato Tavarnelle.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Donato Tavarnelle 1.1 xG, Foligno Calcio 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Donato Tavarnelle 39%, draw 29%, Foligno Calcio 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Donato Tavarnelle 1–0 Foligno Calcio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Donato Tavarnelle39%fair 2.59 · @2.55
Draw29%fair 3.48 · @3.10
Foligno Calcio33%fair 3.06 · @2.62
2.10Expected goals
1.15San Donato Tavarnelle xG
0.96Foligno Calcio xG
44%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: San Donato Tavarnelle 1.1 – 1.0 Foligno Calcio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
San Donato Tavarnelle
Foligno Calcio
Attack vs Serie D Girone E average
-17%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
-15%
-16%
Our expected goals here
1.07
0.80
Our own ratings from every Serie D Girone E result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Donato Tavarnelle to win✓
39%
2.59
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.40
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
–
Draw no bet
San Donato Tavarnelle (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Foligno Calcio +1 (Asian handicap)
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
San Donato Tavarnelle to score first✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Donato Tavarnelle / FT San Donato Tavarnelle✗
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.13
–
Recent results
San Donato Tavarnelle – last 6
LLLLDL
2 Apr
@ Cannara
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs Robur Siena
2–3
L
22 Mar
@ Prato
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Terranuova Traiana
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Sansepolcro
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Poggibonsi
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Foligno Calcio – last 6
DWLWLL
2 Apr
@ Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Sansepolcro
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Robur Siena
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Gavorrano
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Terranuova Traiana
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Poggibonsi
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Donato Tavarnelle and Foligno Calcio.
What is the prediction for San Donato Tavarnelle vs Foligno Calcio?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win San Donato Tavarnelle vs Foligno Calcio?
On our numbers San Donato Tavarnelle have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Foligno Calcio 33%.
How many goals will there be in San Donato Tavarnelle vs Foligno Calcio?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Donato Tavarnelle vs Foligno Calcio?
Our predicted score is San Donato Tavarnelle 1–0 Foligno Calcio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is San Donato Tavarnelle vs Foligno Calcio?
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Foligno Calcio (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Pianigiani.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Orvietana Calcio1
Sansepolcro1
Sporting Trestina1
Grosseto0