Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Prato to win @ 1.83 – our chance 58% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPrato to win ✓58% · @1.83
Double chancePrato or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.54
Prato vs Grosseto: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 19 April the Serie D Girone E brings Prato against Grosseto at Stadio Lungobisenzio. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT.
Current form
Prato, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Seravezza, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Grosseto, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Robur Siena, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Prato 1.7 xG, Grosseto 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 42%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Prato 58%, draw 24%, Grosseto 18%.
Lower-risk option: Prato or draw (82%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: Prato to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Prato or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Prato 1–0 Grosseto. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Prato58%fair 1.73 · @1.83
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.40
Grosseto18%fair 5.41 · @3.70
2.40Expected goals
1.68Prato xG
0.72Grosseto xG
42%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Prato 1.7 – 0.7 Grosseto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Prato
Grosseto
Attack vs Serie D Girone E average
+29%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
-34%
-14%
Our expected goals here
1.71
0.60
Our own ratings from every Serie D Girone E result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Prato to win✓
58%
1.73
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Prato or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
–
Draw no bet
Prato (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Prato -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Prato to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Prato / FT Prato✓
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.54
–
Recent results
Prato – last 5
WWDWD
2 Apr
vs Seravezza
1–0
W
22 Mar
vs San Donato Tavarnelle
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Robur Siena
3–3
D
22 Feb
vs Terranuova Traiana
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Sansepolcro
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Grosseto – last 6
DWDWLW
2 Apr
@ Robur Siena
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Terranuova Traiana
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Scandicci
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Poggibonsi
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Orvietana Calcio
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Tau Altopascio
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Prato and Grosseto.
Our pick is Prato or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Prato vs Grosseto?
On our numbers Prato have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Grosseto 18%.
How many goals will there be in Prato vs Grosseto?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Prato vs Grosseto?
Our predicted score is Prato 1–0 Grosseto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Prato vs Grosseto?
Prato vs Grosseto (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Lungobisenzio.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Foligno Calcio0
Orvietana Calcio1
Sansepolcro1
Sporting Trestina1