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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gavorrano v Orvietana Calcio: numbers & prediction

Serie D Girone E · Italy · Stadio Romeo Malservisi
0–1
FT
Gavorrano 42%Draw 27%Orvietana Calcio 31% Expected goals 1.30 – 0.92
61%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultGavorrano to win ✗42% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.09

Gavorrano vs Orvietana Calcio: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Orvietana Calcio travel to face Gavorrano on Sunday 19 April in the Serie D Girone E, with Stadio Romeo Malservisi the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.

Current form

Gavorrano, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Camaiore, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Orvietana Calcio, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Poggibonsi, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gavorrano 1.3 xG, Orvietana Calcio 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 42%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gavorrano 42%, draw 27%, Orvietana Calcio 31%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gavorrano 1–0 Orvietana Calcio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gavorrano42%fair 2.38 · @2.50
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.10
Orvietana Calcio31%fair 3.24 · @2.55
2.22Expected goals
1.30Gavorrano xG
0.92Orvietana Calcio xG
42%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Gavorrano 1.3 – 0.9 Orvietana Calcio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

GavorranoOrvietana Calcio
Attack vs Serie D Girone E average+6%-7%
Goals conceded vs average-19%-16%
Our expected goals here1.370.79

Our own ratings from every Serie D Girone E result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGavorrano to win ✗42%2.382.50 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓58%1.74–
Draw no betGavorrano (draw no bet) ✗58%1.73–
Asian handicapOrvietana Calcio +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.631.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreGavorrano to score first ✗52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gavorrano / FT Gavorrano ✗26%3.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.09–

Recent results

Gavorrano – last 5

WDLDD
2 Aprvs Camaiore1–0W
22 Marvs Montevarchi Calcio0–0D
15 Mar@ Foligno Calcio0–2L
1 Marvs Seravezza1–1D
15 Febvs San Donato Tavarnelle1–1D
0.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Orvietana Calcio – last 6

DDLDWL
2 Apr@ Poggibonsi0–0D
29 Marvs Cannara0–0D
22 Mar@ Tau Altopascio1–2L
15 Mar@ Sporting Trestina1–1D
22 Feb@ Grosseto1–0W
15 Febvs Montevarchi Calcio0–1L
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Gavorrano and Orvietana Calcio.

Gavorrano vs Orvietana Calcio head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone E table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Prato11740+1325
2Robur Siena11713+1422
3Ternana11632+1221
4Gavorrano11560+721
5Flaminia11542+219
6Lucchese11533+318
7Terranuova Traiana11452+417
8Tau Altopascio11524-417
9Montevarchi Calcio11515+216
10Seravezza11434+515
11Scandicci11434+315
12San Donato Tavarnelle11425-214
13Sasso Marconi Zola11326-211
14Mezzolara11182-611
15Rondinella11245-810
16Grassina11146-117
17Progresso11209-166
18Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano11038-163

More Serie D Girone E predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gavorrano vs Orvietana Calcio?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Gavorrano vs Orvietana Calcio?

On our numbers Gavorrano have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Orvietana Calcio 31%.

How many goals will there be in Gavorrano vs Orvietana Calcio?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gavorrano vs Orvietana Calcio?

Our predicted score is Gavorrano 1–0 Orvietana Calcio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Gavorrano vs Orvietana Calcio?

Gavorrano vs Orvietana Calcio (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Romeo Malservisi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.