Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.15
Notaresco vs Vigor Senigallia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 15 February: Notaresco v Vigor Senigallia in the Serie D Girone F, played at Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Savini. In the table, Notaresco are 8th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; Vigor Senigallia are 5th (upper half) with 19. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Notaresco 1.5 xG, Vigor Senigallia 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Notaresco 52%, draw 25%, Vigor Senigallia 23%.
Lower-risk option: Notaresco or draw (77%) at 1.20.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Notaresco or draw (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Notaresco 1–0 Vigor Senigallia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Notaresco52%fair 1.93 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.00
Vigor Senigallia23%fair 4.31 · @3.60
2.53Expected goals
1.53Notaresco xG
0.99Vigor Senigallia xG
46%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–09%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Notaresco 1.5 – 1.0 Vigor Senigallia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Notaresco to win✗
52%
1.93
1.95
Double chance
Notaresco or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
–
Draw no bet
Notaresco (draw no bet)
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Vigor Senigallia +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Notaresco to score first
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Notaresco / FT Notaresco✗
30%
3.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.15
–
Recent results
Notaresco
No recent results on record.
Vigor Senigallia
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Notaresco and Vigor Senigallia.
What is the prediction for Notaresco vs Vigor Senigallia?
Our pick is Notaresco or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Notaresco vs Vigor Senigallia?
On our numbers Notaresco have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Vigor Senigallia 23%.
How many goals will there be in Notaresco vs Vigor Senigallia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Notaresco vs Vigor Senigallia?
Our predicted score is Notaresco 1–0 Vigor Senigallia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Notaresco vs Vigor Senigallia?
Notaresco vs Vigor Senigallia (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Savini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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