Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.21
9/10Rating
1.21Odds
Picks by market
ResultL'Aquila to win58% · @1.67
Double chanceL'Aquila or draw81% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.71
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.12
L'Aquila vs Maceratese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 February the Serie D Girone F brings L'Aquila against Maceratese at Stadio Gran Sasso d'Italia. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, L'Aquila are 2nd, among the top four, on 25 points after 11 matches; Maceratese are 13th (lower half) with 12. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give L'Aquila 2.1 xG, Maceratese 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – L'Aquila 58%, draw 23%, Maceratese 19%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.71.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: L'Aquila 2–1 Maceratese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
L'Aquila58%fair 1.71 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.45
Maceratese19%fair 5.32 · @4.50
3.19Expected goals
2.08L'Aquila xG
1.11Maceratese xG
58%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: L'Aquila 2.1 – 1.1 Maceratese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
L'Aquila to win
58%
1.71
1.67
Double chance
L'Aquila or draw
81%
1.23
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.73
1.71
Draw no bet
L'Aquila (draw no bet)
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Maceratese +1.5 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
79%
1.27
1.21
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
57%
1.76
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
64%
1.56
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
81%
1.24
1.08
First team to score
L'Aquila to score first
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
L'Aquila ahead at half-time
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT L'Aquila / FT L'Aquila
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
L'Aquila
No recent results on record.
Maceratese
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between L'Aquila and Maceratese.
What is the prediction for L'Aquila vs Maceratese?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win L'Aquila vs Maceratese?
On our numbers L'Aquila have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Maceratese 19%.
How many goals will there be in L'Aquila vs Maceratese?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for L'Aquila vs Maceratese?
Our predicted score is L'Aquila 2–1 Maceratese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is L'Aquila vs Maceratese?
L'Aquila vs Maceratese (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Gran Sasso d'Italia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.