Ostia Mare 57%Draw 22%Recanatese 20%Expected goals 1.70 – 1.09
65%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultOstia Mare to win ✓57% · @1.32
Double chanceOstia Mare or draw ✓80% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.34
Ostia Mare vs Recanatese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Recanatese travel to face Ostia Mare on Sunday 15 February in the Serie D Girone F, with Stadio Anco Marzio the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ostia Mare 1.7 xG, Recanatese 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ostia Mare 57%, draw 22%, Recanatese 20%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ostia Mare 1–1 Recanatese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ostia Mare57%fair 1.74 · @1.32
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @4.25
Recanatese20%fair 4.95 · @8.30
2.79Expected goals
1.70Ostia Mare xG
1.09Recanatese xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: Ostia Mare 1.7 – 1.1 Recanatese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ostia Mare to win✓
57%
1.74
1.32
Double chance
Ostia Mare or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Ostia Mare (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Recanatese +1 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.17
First team to score
Ostia Mare to score first✓
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ostia Mare / FT Ostia Mare✓
32%
3.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.34
–
Recent results
Ostia Mare
No recent results on record.
Recanatese
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ostia Mare and Recanatese.
What is the prediction for Ostia Mare vs Recanatese?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Ostia Mare vs Recanatese?
On our numbers Ostia Mare have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Recanatese 20%.
How many goals will there be in Ostia Mare vs Recanatese?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ostia Mare vs Recanatese?
Our predicted score is Ostia Mare 1–1 Recanatese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ostia Mare vs Recanatese?
Ostia Mare vs Recanatese (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Anco Marzio.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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