Sora 38%Draw 28%Notaresco 34%Expected goals 1.20 – 1.13
72%
Betarazi pick
Either team to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
–Odds
Picks by market
ResultSora to win ✗38% · @2.39
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · fair 1.38
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.55
Sora vs Notaresco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Notaresco travel to face Sora on Sunday 15 March in the Serie D Girone F, with Stadio Claudio Tomei the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT.
Current form
Sora, last 3: WDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over L'Aquila, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Notaresco, last 3: DLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Fossombrone, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sora, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Notaresco.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sora 1.2 xG, Notaresco 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sora 38%, draw 28%, Notaresco 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Either team to win (72%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sora 1–0 Notaresco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sora38%fair 2.61 · @2.39
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @3.10
Notaresco34%fair 2.93 · @2.85
2.33Expected goals
1.20Sora xG
1.13Notaresco xG
47%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Sora 1.2 – 1.1 Notaresco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sora to win✗
38%
2.61
2.39
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Sora (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Notaresco +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Sora to score first✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sora / FT Sora✗
22%
4.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.55
–
Recent results
Sora – last 3
WDD
1 Mar
@ L'Aquila
3–2
W
22 Feb
vs Teramo
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Sammaurese
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Notaresco – last 3
DLD
1 Mar
vs Fossombrone
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Maceratese
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Vigor Senigallia
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sora and Notaresco.
On our numbers Sora have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Notaresco 34%.
How many goals will there be in Sora vs Notaresco?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sora vs Notaresco?
Our predicted score is Sora 1–0 Notaresco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sora vs Notaresco?
Sora vs Notaresco (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Claudio Tomei.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Castelfidardo Calcio2
Sammaurese1
Unipomezia1