Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗5% · fair 19.00
Fossombrone vs Sammaurese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 15 March: Fossombrone v Sammaurese in the Serie D Girone F, played at Stadio Comunale Fossombrone.
Current form
Fossombrone, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Notaresco, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Sammaurese, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Teramo, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Sammaurese, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Fossombrone.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fossombrone 1.7 xG, Sammaurese 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fossombrone 56%, draw 23%, Sammaurese 21%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Fossombrone to win (56%, odds 1.59). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fossombrone 1–0 Sammaurese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fossombrone56%fair 1.79 · @1.59
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.80
Sammaurese21%fair 4.75 · @5.02
2.71Expected goals
1.68Fossombrone xG
1.03Sammaurese xG
50%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Fossombrone 1.7 – 1.0 Sammaurese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fossombrone to win✓
56%
1.79
1.59
Double chance
Fossombrone or draw✓
79%
1.27
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
–
Draw no bet
Fossombrone (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Sammaurese +1 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Fossombrone to score first✓
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fossombrone / FT Fossombrone✓
32%
3.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
5%
19.00
–
Recent results
Fossombrone – last 3
DLL
1 Mar
@ Notaresco
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Ostia Mare
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Teramo
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sammaurese – last 3
WLD
1 Mar
vs Teramo
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ Vigor Senigallia
1–3
L
15 Feb
vs Sora
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fossombrone and Sammaurese.
What is the prediction for Fossombrone vs Sammaurese?
Our pick is Fossombrone to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.59.
Who will win Fossombrone vs Sammaurese?
On our numbers Fossombrone have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sammaurese 21%.
How many goals will there be in Fossombrone vs Sammaurese?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fossombrone vs Sammaurese?
Our predicted score is Fossombrone 1–0 Sammaurese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Fossombrone vs Sammaurese?
Fossombrone vs Sammaurese (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Fossombrone.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Castelfidardo Calcio2
Sora0
Unipomezia1