Vigor Senigallia v Ancona Prediction & Expected Goals (29 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAncona to win ✓54% · @1.80

Double chanceAncona or draw ✓78% · @1.17

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.94

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.29

Vigor Senigallia vs Ancona: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Vigor Senigallia welcome Ancona to Stadio Comunale Goffredo Bianchelli for a Serie D Girone F fixture on Sunday 29 March (14:00 WAT). In the table, Vigor Senigallia are 5th, upper half, on 19 points after 11 matches; Ancona are 3rd (among the top four) with 21. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Vigor Senigallia, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Victor San Marino, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Ancona, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sora, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vigor Senigallia 1.1 xG, Ancona 1.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Vigor Senigallia 22%, draw 24%, Ancona 54%.
Lower-risk option: Ancona or draw (78%) at 1.17.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Ancona to win (54%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vigor Senigallia 0–1 Ancona. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vigor Senigallia22%fair 4.64 · @4.00

Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.25

Ancona54%fair 1.84 · @1.80

2.80Expected goals

1.08Vigor Senigallia xG

1.72Ancona xG

52%Both score

48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

0–110%

1–210%

0–29%

1–07%

2–16%

From our goals model: Vigor Senigallia 1.1 – 1.7 Ancona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Ancona to win ✓	54%	1.84	1.80
Double chance	Ancona or draw ✓	78%	1.27	1.17
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	52%	1.94	–
Draw no bet	Ancona (draw no bet) ✓	72%	1.40	–
Asian handicap	Vigor Senigallia +1 (Asian handicap)	62%	1.60	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	77%	1.30	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	52%	1.90	1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	69%	1.45	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	85%	1.18	–
First team to score	Ancona to score first ✓	58%	1.73	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	41%	2.46	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Ancona / FT Ancona ✓	32%	3.11	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	10%	10.29	–

Vigor Senigallia – last 5

WDDWD

22 Mar	@ Victor San Marino	4–1	W
15 Mar	vs L'Aquila	2–2	D
1 Mar	@ Termoli Calcio	1–1	D
22 Feb	vs Sammaurese	3–1	W
15 Feb	@ Notaresco	1–1	D

2.2Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

100%Both scored

60%Over 2.5

Ancona – last 6

DWWDLW

22 Mar	vs Sora	1–1	D
15 Mar	@ Real Giulianova	2–1	W
1 Mar	vs Maceratese	4–0	W
22 Feb	@ Unipomezia	1–1	D
18 Feb	@ Pistoiese	0–2	L
15 Feb	vs Chieti	4–1	W

2.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Teramo	11	8	2	1	+13	26
2	L'Aquila	11	7	4	0	+13	25
3	Ancona	11	6	3	2	+10	21
4	Foligno Calcio	11	6	2	3	+3	20
5	Vigor Senigallia	11	6	1	4	-1	19
6	Fossombrone	11	5	2	4	-2	17
7	Montecchio Gallo	11	4	4	3	+3	16
8	Notaresco	11	4	4	3	+2	16
9	Real Giulianova	11	5	1	5	0	16
10	Atletico Ascoli	11	4	3	4	+2	15
11	Termoli Calcio	11	3	4	4	-1	13
12	Lanciano FC	11	3	3	5	-3	12
13	Maceratese	11	3	3	5	-4	12
14	Sporting Trestina	11	3	2	6	-7	11
15	Recanatese	11	2	3	6	-5	9
16	Pietralunga	11	2	3	6	-6	9
17	Santegidiese	11	2	3	6	-8	9
18	Angelana	11	2	1	8	-9	7

Team

Pts

+13

+13

+10

-1

-2

-1

-3

-4

-7

-5

-6

-8

-9

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vigor Senigallia vs Ancona?

Our pick is Ancona to win with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Vigor Senigallia vs Ancona?

On our numbers Vigor Senigallia have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ancona 54%.

How many goals will there be in Vigor Senigallia vs Ancona?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vigor Senigallia vs Ancona?

Our predicted score is Vigor Senigallia 0–1 Ancona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Vigor Senigallia vs Ancona?

Vigor Senigallia vs Ancona (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Goffredo Bianchelli.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Vigor Senigallia v Ancona: numbers & prediction