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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sammaurese v Ostia Mare: numbers & prediction

Serie D Girone F · Italy · Campo Da Calcio Macrelli
0–1
FT
Sammaurese 25%Draw 25%Ostia Mare 51% Expected goals 1.28 – 1.49
55%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.81 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultOstia Mare to win ✓51% · @1.44
Double chanceOstia Mare or draw ✓75% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗3% · fair 28.99

Sammaurese vs Ostia Mare: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ostia Mare travel to face Sammaurese on Sunday 29 March in the Serie D Girone F, with Campo Da Calcio Macrelli the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.

Current form

Sammaurese, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Notaresco, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 2.4 conceded per game.

Ostia Mare, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Teramo, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Ostia Mare, collecting 2.6 points per game to 0.8 for Sammaurese.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sammaurese 1.3 xG, Ostia Mare 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sammaurese 25%, draw 25%, Ostia Mare 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sammaurese 1–2 Ostia Mare. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sammaurese25%fair 4.06 · @5.75
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @4.10
Ostia Mare51%fair 1.98 · @1.44
2.77Expected goals
1.28Sammaurese xG
1.49Ostia Mare xG
50%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%

From our goals model: Sammaurese 1.3 – 1.5 Ostia Mare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOstia Mare to win ✓51%1.981.44
Double chanceOstia Mare or draw ✓75%1.331.10
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%2.00–
Draw no betOstia Mare (draw no bet) ✓67%1.49–
Asian handicapSammaurese +1 (Asian handicap)74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.811.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
First team to scoreOstia Mare to score first ✓50%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ostia Mare / FT Ostia Mare ✗25%4.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗3%28.99–

Recent results

Sammaurese – last 5

LLWLD
22 Mar@ Notaresco0–4L
15 Mar@ Fossombrone1–2L
1 Marvs Teramo3–1W
22 Feb@ Vigor Senigallia1–3L
15 Febvs Sora2–2D
1.4Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Ostia Mare – last 5

DWWWW
25 Mar@ Teramo2–2D
22 Marvs Unipomezia1–0W
1 Marvs Castelfidardo Calcio2–1W
22 Feb@ Fossombrone1–0W
15 Febvs Recanatese4–1W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sammaurese and Ostia Mare.

Sammaurese vs Ostia Mare head-to-head page →

More Serie D Girone F predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sammaurese vs Ostia Mare?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Sammaurese vs Ostia Mare?

On our numbers Sammaurese have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ostia Mare 51%.

How many goals will there be in Sammaurese vs Ostia Mare?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sammaurese vs Ostia Mare?

Our predicted score is Sammaurese 1–2 Ostia Mare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Sammaurese vs Ostia Mare?

Sammaurese vs Ostia Mare (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Da Calcio Macrelli.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.