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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chieti v Recanatese: numbers & prediction

Serie D Girone F · Italy · Stadio Guido Angelini

Chieti

LDLWL
2–1
FT
Chieti 45%Draw 24%Recanatese 31% Expected goals 1.59 – 1.17
50%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.98 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.95Odds

Picks by market

ResultChieti to win ✓45% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗4% · fair 23.60

Chieti vs Recanatese: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Chieti welcome Recanatese to Stadio Guido Angelini for a Serie D Girone F fixture on Sunday 29 March (14:00 WAT).

Current form

Chieti, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Castelfidardo Calcio, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Recanatese, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Real Giulianova, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chieti 1.6 xG, Recanatese 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chieti 45%, draw 24%, Recanatese 31%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (50%, odds 1.95). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chieti 2–1 Recanatese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chieti45%fair 2.22 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.40
Recanatese31%fair 3.21 · @2.60
2.77Expected goals
1.59Chieti xG
1.17Recanatese xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%

From our goals model: Chieti 1.6 – 1.2 Recanatese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChieti to win ✓45%2.222.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%1.98–
Draw no betChieti (draw no bet) ✓59%1.69–
Asian handicapRecanatese +1 (Asian handicap)69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓50%1.981.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
First team to scoreChieti to score first ✓54%1.85–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chieti / FT Chieti ✓28%3.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗4%23.60–

Recent results

Chieti – last 5

LDLWL
22 Mar@ Castelfidardo Calcio0–1L
15 Marvs Victor San Marino1–1D
1 Mar@ Atletico Ascoli1–3L
22 Febvs Termoli Calcio1–0W
15 Feb@ Ancona1–4L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Recanatese – last 5

DLLDL
22 Marvs Real Giulianova0–0D
15 Mar@ Castelfidardo Calcio1–2L
1 Marvs Unipomezia0–2L
22 Febvs Atletico Ascoli1–1D
15 Feb@ Ostia Mare1–4L
0.6Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chieti and Recanatese.

Chieti vs Recanatese head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone F table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Teramo11821+1326
2L'Aquila11740+1325
3Ancona11632+1021
4Foligno Calcio11623+320
5Vigor Senigallia11614-119
6Fossombrone11524-217
7Montecchio Gallo11443+316
8Notaresco11443+216
9Real Giulianova11515016
10Atletico Ascoli11434+215
11Termoli Calcio11344-113
12Lanciano FC11335-312
13Maceratese11335-412
14Sporting Trestina11326-711
15Recanatese11236-59
16Pietralunga11236-69
17Santegidiese11236-89
18Angelana11218-97

More Serie D Girone F predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chieti vs Recanatese?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Chieti vs Recanatese?

On our numbers Chieti have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Recanatese 31%.

How many goals will there be in Chieti vs Recanatese?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chieti vs Recanatese?

Our predicted score is Chieti 2–1 Recanatese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Chieti vs Recanatese?

Chieti vs Recanatese (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Guido Angelini.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.