Value bet: Real Giulianova to win @ 3.25 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultReal Giulianova to win ✓37% · @3.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.70
Real Giulianova vs Ostia Mare: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 3 May: Real Giulianova v Ostia Mare in the Serie D Girone F, played at Stadio Rubens Fadini.
Current form
Real Giulianova, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Maceratese, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Ostia Mare, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Termoli Calcio, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Ostia Mare, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.0 for Real Giulianova.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Giulianova 1.3 xG, Ostia Mare 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Giulianova 37%, draw 27%, Ostia Mare 36%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Real Giulianova to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Giulianova 1–1 Ostia Mare. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Giulianova37%fair 2.68 · @3.25
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.10
Ostia Mare36%fair 2.77 · @2.15
2.36Expected goals
1.32Real Giulianova xG
1.04Ostia Mare xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Real Giulianova 1.3 – 1.0 Ostia Mare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Giulianova to win✓
37%
2.68
3.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.83
Draw no bet
Real Giulianova (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Ostia Mare +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Real Giulianova to score first✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Giulianova / FT Real Giulianova✓
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.70
–
Recent results
Real Giulianova – last 6
DLDWDL
26 Apr
@ Maceratese
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Chieti
0–1
L
2 Apr
@ Unipomezia
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Atletico Ascoli
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Recanatese
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Ancona
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Ostia Mare – last 6
WWWWDW
26 Apr
vs Termoli Calcio
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs L'Aquila
2–1
W
2 Apr
vs Chieti
3–0
W
29 Mar
@ Sammaurese
1–0
W
25 Mar
@ Teramo
2–2
D
22 Mar
vs Unipomezia
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Giulianova and Ostia Mare.
What is the prediction for Real Giulianova vs Ostia Mare?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Real Giulianova vs Ostia Mare?
On our numbers Real Giulianova have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Ostia Mare 36%.
How many goals will there be in Real Giulianova vs Ostia Mare?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Giulianova vs Ostia Mare?
Our predicted score is Real Giulianova 1–1 Ostia Mare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Real Giulianova vs Ostia Mare?
Real Giulianova vs Ostia Mare (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Rubens Fadini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.