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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Real Giulianova v Ostia Mare: numbers & prediction

Serie D Girone F · Italy · Stadio Rubens Fadini
4–0
FT
Real Giulianova 37%Draw 27%Ostia Mare 36% Expected goals 1.32 – 1.04
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Real Giulianova to win @ 3.25 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultReal Giulianova to win ✓37% · @3.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.70

Real Giulianova vs Ostia Mare: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Sunday 3 May: Real Giulianova v Ostia Mare in the Serie D Girone F, played at Stadio Rubens Fadini.

Current form

Real Giulianova, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Maceratese, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Ostia Mare, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Termoli Calcio, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Ostia Mare, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.0 for Real Giulianova.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Giulianova 1.3 xG, Ostia Mare 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Real Giulianova 37%, draw 27%, Ostia Mare 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.
  • Price worth noting: Real Giulianova to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Giulianova 1–1 Ostia Mare. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Giulianova37%fair 2.68 · @3.25
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.10
Ostia Mare36%fair 2.77 · @2.15
2.36Expected goals
1.32Real Giulianova xG
1.04Ostia Mare xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%

From our goals model: Real Giulianova 1.3 – 1.0 Ostia Mare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Giulianova to win ✓37%2.683.25 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.361.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.861.83
Draw no betReal Giulianova (draw no bet) ✓51%1.97–
Asian handicapOstia Mare +1 (Asian handicap) ✗74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.481.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.741.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77%1.291.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreReal Giulianova to score first ✓51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Giulianova / FT Real Giulianova ✓25%4.00–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.70–

Recent results

Real Giulianova – last 6

DLDWDL
26 Apr@ Maceratese1–1D
19 Apr@ Chieti0–1L
2 Apr@ Unipomezia0–0D
29 Marvs Atletico Ascoli1–0W
22 Mar@ Recanatese0–0D
15 Marvs Ancona1–2L
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Ostia Mare – last 6

WWWWDW
26 Aprvs Termoli Calcio1–0W
19 Aprvs L'Aquila2–1W
2 Aprvs Chieti3–0W
29 Mar@ Sammaurese1–0W
25 Mar@ Teramo2–2D
22 Marvs Unipomezia1–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Real Giulianova and Ostia Mare.

Real Giulianova vs Ostia Mare head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone F table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Teramo11821+1326
2L'Aquila11740+1325
3Ancona11632+1021
4Foligno Calcio11623+320
5Vigor Senigallia11614-119
6Fossombrone11524-217
7Montecchio Gallo11443+316
8Notaresco11443+216
9Real Giulianova11515016
10Atletico Ascoli11434+215
11Termoli Calcio11344-113
12Lanciano FC11335-312
13Maceratese11335-412
14Sporting Trestina11326-711
15Recanatese11236-59
16Pietralunga11236-69
17Santegidiese11236-89
18Angelana11218-97

More Serie D Girone F predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Giulianova vs Ostia Mare?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Real Giulianova vs Ostia Mare?

On our numbers Real Giulianova have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Ostia Mare 36%.

How many goals will there be in Real Giulianova vs Ostia Mare?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Giulianova vs Ostia Mare?

Our predicted score is Real Giulianova 1–1 Ostia Mare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Real Giulianova vs Ostia Mare?

Real Giulianova vs Ostia Mare (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Rubens Fadini.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.