Value bet: Chieti to win @ 2.95 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultChieti to win ✓39% · @2.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.25
Chieti vs Maceratese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Maceratese travel to face Chieti on Sunday 3 May in the Serie D Girone F, with Stadio Guido Angelini the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.
Current form
Chieti, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Vigor Senigallia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Maceratese, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Real Giulianova, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Chieti, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Maceratese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chieti 1.5 xG, Maceratese 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chieti 39%, draw 25%, Maceratese 36%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Chieti to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chieti 1–1 Maceratese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chieti39%fair 2.60 · @2.95
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.25
Maceratese36%fair 2.74 · @2.20
2.78Expected goals
1.49Chieti xG
1.29Maceratese xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Chieti 1.5 – 1.3 Maceratese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chieti to win✓
39%
2.60
2.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.65
Draw no bet
Chieti (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Maceratese +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Chieti to score first✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chieti / FT Chieti✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.25
–
Recent results
Chieti – last 6
WWLWLD
26 Apr
@ Vigor Senigallia
3–2
W
19 Apr
vs Real Giulianova
1–0
W
2 Apr
@ Ostia Mare
0–3
L
29 Mar
vs Recanatese
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Castelfidardo Calcio
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Victor San Marino
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Maceratese – last 6
DLDWLL
26 Apr
vs Real Giulianova
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Unipomezia
0–3
L
2 Apr
@ Castelfidardo Calcio
2–2
D
29 Mar
vs Victor San Marino
3–0
W
22 Mar
@ Atletico Ascoli
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs Termoli Calcio
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chieti and Maceratese.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Chieti vs Maceratese?
On our numbers Chieti have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Maceratese 36%.
How many goals will there be in Chieti vs Maceratese?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chieti vs Maceratese?
Our predicted score is Chieti 1–1 Maceratese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Chieti vs Maceratese?
Chieti vs Maceratese (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Guido Angelini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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