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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ferrandina v Afragolese: numbers & prediction

Serie D Girone H · Italy · Campo Sportivo Ferrandina
1–1
FT
Ferrandina 29%Draw 28%Afragolese 44% Expected goals 0.96 – 1.21
72%
Betarazi pick

Either team to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultAfragolese to win ✗44% · @2.09
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · fair 1.38
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.26

Ferrandina vs Afragolese: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Sunday 15 March: Ferrandina v Afragolese in the Serie D Girone H, played at Campo Sportivo Ferrandina.

Current form

Ferrandina, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Martina Franca, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.

Afragolese, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Real Acerrana, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Afragolese, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.0 for Ferrandina.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ferrandina 1.0 xG, Afragolese 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ferrandina 29%, draw 28%, Afragolese 44%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Either team to win (72%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ferrandina 0–1 Afragolese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ferrandina29%fair 3.50 · @3.40
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @3.15
Afragolese44%fair 2.29 · @2.09
2.17Expected goals
0.96Ferrandina xG
1.21Afragolese xG
45%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%

From our goals model: Ferrandina 1.0 – 1.2 Afragolese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAfragolese to win ✗44%2.292.09
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72%1.38–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗55%1.82–
Draw no betAfragolese (draw no bet)60%1.65–
Asian handicapFerrandina +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.21–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreAfragolese to score first ✓49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Afragolese / FT Afragolese ✗24%4.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14%7.26–

Recent results

Ferrandina – last 3

LLL
1 Mar@ Martina Franca0–1L
22 Feb@ Manfredonia0–2L
15 Febvs Barletta0–2L
0.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Afragolese – last 3

WLD
1 Marvs Real Acerrana5–2W
22 Feb@ Barletta0–2L
15 Febvs Nardò0–0D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ferrandina and Afragolese.

Ferrandina vs Afragolese head-to-head page →

More Serie D Girone H predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ferrandina vs Afragolese?

Our pick is Either team to win with a 72% chance.

Who will win Ferrandina vs Afragolese?

On our numbers Ferrandina have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Afragolese 44%.

How many goals will there be in Ferrandina vs Afragolese?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ferrandina vs Afragolese?

Our predicted score is Ferrandina 0–1 Afragolese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Ferrandina vs Afragolese?

Ferrandina vs Afragolese (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Sportivo Ferrandina.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.