Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.40
Sarnese vs Gravina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sarnese welcome Gravina to Stadio Felice Squitieri for a Serie D Girone H fixture on Sunday 15 March (15:30 WAT).
Current form
Gravina, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Pompei, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sarnese 1.5 xG, Gravina 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sarnese 39%, draw 25%, Gravina 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarnese 1–1 Gravina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sarnese39%fair 2.53 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.30
Gravina36%fair 2.78 · @2.45
2.73Expected goals
1.48Sarnese xG
1.26Gravina xG
49%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Sarnese 1.5 – 1.3 Gravina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarnese to win✓
39%
2.53
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
–
Draw no bet
Sarnese (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Gravina +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Sarnese to score first✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarnese / FT Sarnese✓
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.40
–
Recent results
Sarnese – last 2
DD
22 Feb
vs Paganese
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Real Normanna
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gravina – last 3
WWW
1 Mar
vs Pompei
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Virtus Francavilla
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Francavilla
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarnese and Gravina.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Sarnese vs Gravina?
On our numbers Sarnese have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gravina 36%.
How many goals will there be in Sarnese vs Gravina?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarnese vs Gravina?
Our predicted score is Sarnese 1–1 Gravina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Sarnese vs Gravina?
Sarnese vs Gravina (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Felice Squitieri.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Città di Fasano2
Ferrandina1
Afragolese1
Nola 19251
Heraclea0
Paganese1
Barletta3