Afragolese v Fidelis Andria Prediction & Expected Goals (22 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAfragolese to win ✓41% · @2.17

Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · fair 1.39

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.86

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.58

Afragolese vs Fidelis Andria: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Afragolese welcome Fidelis Andria to Stadio Luigi Moccia for a Serie D Girone H fixture on Sunday 22 March (15:00 WAT).

Current form

Afragolese, last 4: DWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ferrandina, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Fidelis Andria, last 4: WLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Heraclea, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Afragolese 1.2 xG, Fidelis Andria 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Afragolese 41%, draw 28%, Fidelis Andria 31%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.86.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Afragolese 1–1 Fidelis Andria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Afragolese41%fair 2.44 · @2.17

Draw28%fair 3.54 · @3.10

Fidelis Andria31%fair 3.25 · @3.25

2.22Expected goals

1.22Afragolese xG

1.00Fidelis Andria xG

49%Both score

41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–013%

0–111%

0–011%

2–18%

2–08%

From our goals model: Afragolese 1.2 – 1.0 Fidelis Andria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Afragolese to win ✓	41%	2.44	2.17
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	72%	1.39	–
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	51%	1.96	1.86
Draw no bet	Afragolese (draw no bet) ✓	57%	1.75	–
Asian handicap	Fidelis Andria +1 (Asian handicap)	77%	1.30	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	66%	1.51	1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	59%	1.69	1.61
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	90%	1.12	1.07
First team to score	Afragolese to score first	49%	2.05	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	47%	2.12	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Afragolese / FT Afragolese ✗	23%	4.28	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	13%	7.58	–

Afragolese – last 4

DWLD

15 Mar	@ Ferrandina	1–1	D
1 Mar	vs Real Acerrana	5–2	W
22 Feb	@ Barletta	0–2	L
15 Feb	vs Nardò	0–0	D

1.5Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

25%Over 2.5

Fidelis Andria – last 4

WLWL

15 Mar	vs Heraclea	1–0	W
1 Mar	@ Nardò	2–3	L
22 Feb	vs Città di Fasano	2–0	W
15 Feb	@ Nola 1925	1–2	L

1.5Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Virtus Francavilla	11	9	0	2	+9	27
2	Martina Franca	11	7	1	3	+9	22
3	Brindisi	11	7	0	4	+6	21
4	Gravina	11	5	5	1	+7	20
5	Turris	11	5	4	2	+5	19
6	Manfredonia	11	5	3	3	+4	18
7	Gladiator	11	5	3	3	+1	18
8	Fidelis Andria	11	5	2	4	+1	17
9	Bisceglie	11	5	0	6	0	15
10	USD Palmese	11	4	2	5	-1	14
11	Real Normanna	11	3	5	3	-1	14
12	Nocerina	11	4	1	6	-2	13
13	Real Forio 2014	11	3	2	6	-3	11
14	Melfi	11	3	2	6	-8	11
15	Ebolitana	11	2	4	5	-8	10
16	Ischia	11	2	3	6	-4	9
17	Francavilla	11	2	2	7	-6	8
18	Nardò	11	2	3	6	-9	7

Team

Pts

-1

-1

-2

-3

-8

-8

-4

-6

-9

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Afragolese vs Fidelis Andria?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Afragolese vs Fidelis Andria?

On our numbers Afragolese have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Fidelis Andria 31%.

How many goals will there be in Afragolese vs Fidelis Andria?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Afragolese vs Fidelis Andria?

Our predicted score is Afragolese 1–1 Fidelis Andria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Afragolese vs Fidelis Andria?

Afragolese vs Fidelis Andria (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Luigi Moccia.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Afragolese v Fidelis Andria: numbers & prediction

Afragolese