Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultPaganese to win ✗50% · @1.72
Double chancePaganese or draw ✓75% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.51
Ferrandina vs Paganese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Paganese travel to face Ferrandina on Sunday 29 March in the Serie D Girone H, with Campo Sportivo Ferrandina the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.
Current form
Ferrandina, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Real Normanna, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game.
Paganese, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Martina Franca, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Paganese, collecting 1.4 points per game to 0.2 for Ferrandina.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ferrandina 1.0 xG, Paganese 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 44%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ferrandina 25%, draw 25%, Paganese 50%.
Lower-risk option: Paganese or draw (75%) at 1.18.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ferrandina 0–1 Paganese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ferrandina25%fair 4.06 · @4.35
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.35
Paganese50%fair 1.99 · @1.72
2.30Expected goals
0.97Ferrandina xG
1.33Paganese xG
44%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–010%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Ferrandina 1.0 – 1.3 Paganese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paganese to win✗
50%
1.99
1.72
Double chance
Paganese or draw✓
75%
1.33
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
–
Draw no bet
Paganese (draw no bet)
67%
1.49
–
Asian handicap
Ferrandina +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Paganese to score first✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paganese / FT Paganese✗
26%
3.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.51
–
Recent results
Ferrandina – last 5
LDLLL
22 Mar
@ Real Normanna
1–3
L
15 Mar
vs Afragolese
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Martina Franca
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Manfredonia
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Barletta
0–2
L
0.4Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Paganese – last 5
WLLDW
22 Mar
vs Martina Franca
3–2
W
15 Mar
@ Manfredonia
1–3
L
1 Mar
vs Barletta
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ Sarnese
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Pompei
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ferrandina and Paganese.
What is the prediction for Ferrandina vs Paganese?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Ferrandina vs Paganese?
On our numbers Ferrandina have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Paganese 50%.
How many goals will there be in Ferrandina vs Paganese?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ferrandina vs Paganese?
Our predicted score is Ferrandina 0–1 Paganese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Ferrandina vs Paganese?
Ferrandina vs Paganese (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Sportivo Ferrandina.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pompei1
Città di Fasano1
Manfredonia1
Gravina2
Martina Franca2
Afragolese0
Barletta1
Real Normanna0