Manfredonia v Gravina Prediction & Expected Goals (29 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultManfredonia to win ✗40% · @2.22

Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.05

Manfredonia vs Gravina: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:30 WAT, Sunday 29 March: Manfredonia v Gravina in the Serie D Girone H, played at Stadio Miramare. In the table, Manfredonia are 6th, upper half, on 18 points after 11 matches; Gravina are 4th (among the top four) with 20. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Manfredonia, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Città di Fasano, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.

Gravina, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Barletta, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Gravina, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Manfredonia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Manfredonia 1.3 xG, Gravina 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Manfredonia 40%, draw 26%, Gravina 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Manfredonia 1–1 Gravina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Manfredonia40%fair 2.51 · @2.22

Draw26%fair 3.77 · @3.15

Gravina34%fair 2.97 · @2.92

2.46Expected goals

1.29Manfredonia xG

1.17Gravina xG

46%Both score

45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–011%

0–110%

0–09%

2–18%

1–28%

From our goals model: Manfredonia 1.3 – 1.2 Gravina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Manfredonia to win ✗	40%	2.51	2.22
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	74%	1.36	1.30
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	54%	1.85	–
Draw no bet	Manfredonia (draw no bet) ✗	54%	1.84	–
Asian handicap	Gravina +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	61%	1.65	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	70%	1.42	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	55%	1.81	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	90%	1.11	–
First team to score	Manfredonia to score first ✗	48%	2.09	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	45%	2.24	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Manfredonia / FT Manfredonia ✗	23%	4.42	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	11%	9.05	–

Manfredonia – last 5

LWLWL

22 Mar	@ Città di Fasano	1–2	L
15 Mar	vs Paganese	3–1	W
1 Mar	@ Real Normanna	0–1	L
22 Feb	vs Ferrandina	2–0	W
15 Feb	@ Martina Franca	3–4	L

1.8Scored / game

1.6Conceded / game

60%Both scored

60%Over 2.5

Gravina – last 5

LLWWW

22 Mar	vs Barletta	0–2	L
15 Mar	@ Sarnese	0–2	L
1 Mar	vs Pompei	2–0	W
22 Feb	@ Virtus Francavilla	1–0	W
15 Feb	vs Francavilla	2–1	W

1.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

20%Both scored

20%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Virtus Francavilla	11	9	0	2	+9	27
2	Martina Franca	11	7	1	3	+9	22
3	Brindisi	11	7	0	4	+6	21
4	Gravina	11	5	5	1	+7	20
5	Turris	11	5	4	2	+5	19
6	Manfredonia	11	5	3	3	+4	18
7	Gladiator	11	5	3	3	+1	18
8	Fidelis Andria	11	5	2	4	+1	17
9	Bisceglie	11	5	0	6	0	15
10	USD Palmese	11	4	2	5	-1	14
11	Real Normanna	11	3	5	3	-1	14
12	Nocerina	11	4	1	6	-2	13
13	Real Forio 2014	11	3	2	6	-3	11
14	Melfi	11	3	2	6	-8	11
15	Ebolitana	11	2	4	5	-8	10
16	Ischia	11	2	3	6	-4	9
17	Francavilla	11	2	2	7	-6	8
18	Nardò	11	2	3	6	-9	7

Team

Pts

-1

-1

-2

-3

-8

-8

-4

-6

-9

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Manfredonia vs Gravina?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Manfredonia vs Gravina?

On our numbers Manfredonia have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Gravina 34%.

How many goals will there be in Manfredonia vs Gravina?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Manfredonia vs Gravina?

Our predicted score is Manfredonia 1–1 Gravina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Manfredonia vs Gravina?

Manfredonia vs Gravina (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Miramare.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Manfredonia v Gravina: numbers & prediction