Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.80
Martina Franca vs Afragolese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 29 March the Serie D Girone H brings Martina Franca against Afragolese at Stadio Gian Domenico Tursi. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT.
Current form
Martina Franca, last 4: LWWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Paganese, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Afragolese, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Fidelis Andria, at home. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Martina Franca, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.6 for Afragolese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Martina Franca 1.5 xG, Afragolese 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Martina Franca 52%, draw 26%, Afragolese 22%.
Lower-risk option: Martina Franca or draw (78%) at 1.28.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Martina Franca or draw (78%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Martina Franca 1–0 Afragolese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Martina Franca52%fair 1.93 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.25
Afragolese22%fair 4.45 · @3.60
2.47Expected goals
1.52Martina Franca xG
0.95Afragolese xG
48%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Martina Franca 1.5 – 1.0 Afragolese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Martina Franca to win✓
52%
1.93
1.90
Double chance
Martina Franca or draw✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
–
Draw no bet
Martina Franca (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Afragolese +1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Martina Franca to score first✓
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Martina Franca / FT Martina Franca✓
30%
3.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.80
–
Recent results
Martina Franca – last 4
LWWW
22 Mar
@ Paganese
2–3
L
1 Mar
vs Ferrandina
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Pompei
2–0
W
15 Feb
vs Manfredonia
4–3
W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Afragolese – last 5
WDWLD
22 Mar
vs Fidelis Andria
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Ferrandina
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Real Acerrana
5–2
W
22 Feb
@ Barletta
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Nardò
0–0
D
1.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Martina Franca and Afragolese.
What is the prediction for Martina Franca vs Afragolese?
Our pick is Martina Franca or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Martina Franca vs Afragolese?
On our numbers Martina Franca have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Afragolese 22%.
How many goals will there be in Martina Franca vs Afragolese?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Martina Franca vs Afragolese?
Our predicted score is Martina Franca 1–0 Afragolese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Martina Franca vs Afragolese?
Martina Franca vs Afragolese (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Gian Domenico Tursi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pompei1
Città di Fasano1
Ferrandina1
Paganese1
Barletta1