Value bet: Vibonese to win @ 2.60 – our chance 45% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVibonese to win ✗45% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.35
Vibonese vs Gelbison: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 22 February: Vibonese v Gelbison in the Serie D Girone I, played at Stadio Luigi Razza.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vibonese 1.6 xG, Gelbison 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vibonese 45%, draw 24%, Gelbison 31%.
Price worth noting: Vibonese to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vibonese 1–0 Gelbison. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vibonese45%fair 2.21 · @2.60
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.00
Gelbison31%fair 3.24 · @2.50
2.61Expected goals
1.64Vibonese xG
0.98Gelbison xG
46%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Vibonese 1.6 – 1.0 Gelbison expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vibonese to win✗
45%
2.21
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
–
Draw no bet
Vibonese (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Gelbison +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Vibonese to score first✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vibonese / FT Vibonese✗
32%
3.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.35
–
Recent results
Vibonese – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Milazzo
0–4
L
0.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Gelbison – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Ragusa
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vibonese and Gelbison.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Vibonese vs Gelbison?
On our numbers Vibonese have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gelbison 31%.
How many goals will there be in Vibonese vs Gelbison?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vibonese vs Gelbison?
Our predicted score is Vibonese 1–0 Gelbison, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Vibonese vs Gelbison?
Vibonese vs Gelbison (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Luigi Razza.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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