Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.94
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.14
AC Palermo vs Gela: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
AC Palermo welcome Gela to Centro Universitario Sportivo for a Serie D Girone I fixture on Sunday 22 February (14:30 WAT). In the table, AC Palermo are 10th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Gela are 8th (upper half) with 15. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AC Palermo 1.3 xG, Gela 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AC Palermo 47%, draw 27%, Gela 26%.
Lower-risk option: AC Palermo or draw (74%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: AC Palermo 1–1 Gela. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AC Palermo47%fair 2.12 · @1.73
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.40
Gela26%fair 3.91 · @4.20
2.37Expected goals
1.32AC Palermo xG
1.06Gela xG
48%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: AC Palermo 1.3 – 1.1 Gela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AC Palermo to win✗
47%
2.12
1.73
Double chance
AC Palermo or draw✓
74%
1.34
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
–
Draw no bet
AC Palermo (draw no bet)
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
Gela +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
AC Palermo to score first✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AC Palermo / FT AC Palermo✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.14
–
Recent results
AC Palermo
No recent results on record.
Gela – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Acireale
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AC Palermo and Gela.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win AC Palermo vs Gela?
On our numbers AC Palermo have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Gela 26%.
How many goals will there be in AC Palermo vs Gela?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AC Palermo vs Gela?
Our predicted score is AC Palermo 1–1 Gela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is AC Palermo vs Gela?
AC Palermo vs Gela (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Centro Universitario Sportivo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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