Reggina v Sambiase Prediction & Expected Goals (3 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultReggina to win ✓54% · @1.62

Double chanceReggina or draw ✓79% · @1.10

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.10

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.17

Reggina vs Sambiase: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Sunday 3 May: Reggina v Sambiase in the Serie D Girone I, played at Stadio Oreste Granillo. In the table, Reggina are 1st, leading the league, on 26 points after 11 matches; Sambiase are 2nd (among the top four) with 26. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Reggina, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Milazzo, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Sambiase, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Nissa, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Reggina 1.4 xG, Sambiase 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Reggina 54%, draw 25%, Sambiase 21%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Reggina 1–0 Sambiase. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Reggina54%fair 1.85 · @1.62

Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.40

Sambiase21%fair 4.85 · @5.25

2.30Expected goals

1.45Reggina xG

0.85Sambiase xG

51%Both score

41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%

1–112%

2–010%

0–010%

2–19%

0–19%

From our goals model: Reggina 1.4 – 0.9 Sambiase expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Reggina to win ✓	54%	1.85	1.62
Double chance	Reggina or draw ✓	79%	1.26	1.10
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	51%	1.95	2.10 ▲
Draw no bet	Reggina (draw no bet) ✓	72%	1.38	–
Asian handicap	Sambiase +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	66%	1.52	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	67%	1.50	1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	59%	1.71	1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	78%	1.28	1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	92%	1.09	–
First team to score	Reggina to score first ✓	57%	1.77	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	46%	2.19	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Reggina / FT Reggina ✓	30%	3.30	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.17	–

Reggina – last 6

WWWWWL

26 Apr	@ Milazzo	2–1	W
19 Apr	vs Paternò	2–0	W
15 Apr	vs Enna	2–1	W
29 Mar	@ AC Palermo	1–0	W
25 Mar	@ Igea Virtus	2–0	W
22 Feb	@ Vigor Lamezia	0–2	L

1.5Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Sambiase – last 6

DWWWWW

26 Apr	vs Nissa	1–1	D
19 Apr	@ Milazzo	1–0	W
2 Apr	vs Paternò	3–1	W
29 Mar	@ Acireale	2–1	W
22 Mar	vs Gela	2–1	W
15 Mar	@ Sancataldese	1–0	W

1.7Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Reggina	11	8	2	1	+21	26
2	Sambiase	11	8	2	1	+11	26
3	Vibonese	11	7	3	1	+14	24
4	Calcio Avola	11	6	1	4	+1	19
5	Milazzo	11	6	1	4	+1	19
6	Digiesse PraiaTortora	11	5	3	3	+6	18
7	Igea Virtus	11	5	3	3	+3	18
8	Gela	11	4	4	3	+4	15
9	Siracusa	11	6	3	2	+8	14
10	AC Palermo	11	4	2	5	-1	14
11	Licata	11	4	2	5	-11	14
12	Modica	11	4	1	6	+1	13
13	Nissa	11	3	3	5	+1	12
14	Trapani 1905	11	4	2	5	-5	9
15	CastrumFavara	11	2	2	7	-7	8
16	Vigor Lamezia	11	2	2	7	-10	8
17	Ragusa	11	0	3	8	-14	3
18	Enna	11	0	3	8	-23	3

Team

Pts

+21

+11

+14

Digiesse PraiaTortora

-1

-11

-5

-7

-10

-14

-23

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Reggina vs Sambiase?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Reggina vs Sambiase?

On our numbers Reggina have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sambiase 21%.

How many goals will there be in Reggina vs Sambiase?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Reggina vs Sambiase?

Our predicted score is Reggina 1–0 Sambiase, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Reggina vs Sambiase?

Reggina vs Sambiase (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Oreste Granillo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Reggina v Sambiase: numbers & prediction