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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Savoia v Sancataldese: numbers & prediction

Serie D Girone I · Italy · Stadio Alfredo Giraud

Savoia

WWWWL
3–0
FT
Savoia 61%Draw 23%Sancataldese 16% Expected goals 1.74 – 0.89
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSavoia to win ✓61% · @1.44
Double chanceSavoia or draw ✓84% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29

Savoia vs Sancataldese: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 3 May the Serie D Girone I brings Savoia against Sancataldese at Stadio Alfredo Giraud. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT.

Current form

Savoia, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over AC Palermo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Sancataldese, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Vigor Lamezia, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Savoia, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Sancataldese.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Savoia 1.7 xG, Sancataldese 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Savoia 61%, draw 23%, Sancataldese 16%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.93.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Savoia 1–1 Sancataldese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Savoia61%fair 1.64 · @1.44
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.85
Sancataldese16%fair 6.28 · @6.75
2.63Expected goals
1.74Savoia xG
0.89Sancataldese xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%

From our goals model: Savoia 1.7 – 0.9 Sancataldese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSavoia to win ✓61%1.641.44
Double chanceSavoia or draw ✓84%1.191.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.771.93 ▲
Draw no betSavoia (draw no bet) ✓79%1.26–
Asian handicapSancataldese +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.361.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.981.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.401.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreSavoia to score first ✓61%1.63–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Savoia / FT Savoia ✓36%2.80–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.29–

Recent results

Savoia – last 6

WWWWLD
26 Apr@ AC Palermo3–1W
19 Aprvs Igea Virtus3–0W
2 Aprvs Messina2–0W
29 Marvs Ragusa2–0W
22 Mar@ Milazzo0–1L
15 Marvs Gelbison1–1D
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sancataldese – last 6

DDWLLL
26 Aprvs Vigor Lamezia1–1D
19 Apr@ Ragusa0–0D
2 Apr@ Vibonese2–0W
29 Marvs Nissa1–5L
22 Mar@ CastrumFavara0–1L
15 Marvs Sambiase0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Savoia and Sancataldese.

Savoia vs Sancataldese head-to-head page →

More Serie D Girone I predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Savoia vs Sancataldese?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Savoia vs Sancataldese?

On our numbers Savoia have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sancataldese 16%.

How many goals will there be in Savoia vs Sancataldese?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Savoia vs Sancataldese?

Our predicted score is Savoia 1–1 Sancataldese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Savoia vs Sancataldese?

Savoia vs Sancataldese (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Alfredo Giraud.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.