Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultMessina to win ✓51% · @1.73
Double chanceMessina or draw ✓77% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.99
Messina vs Milazzo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Milazzo travel to face Messina on Sunday 3 May in the Serie D Girone I, with Stadio San Filippo the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.
Current form
Messina, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Igea Virtus, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Milazzo, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Reggina, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Messina 1.3 xG, Milazzo 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Messina 51%, draw 26%, Milazzo 23%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Messina 1–0 Milazzo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Messina51%fair 1.98 · @1.73
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.30
Milazzo23%fair 4.32 · @4.60
2.18Expected goals
1.28Messina xG
0.90Milazzo xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Messina 1.3 – 0.9 Milazzo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Messina to win✓
51%
1.98
1.73
Double chance
Messina or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.95
Draw no bet
Messina (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
Milazzo +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Messina to score first✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Messina / FT Messina✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.99
–
Recent results
Messina – last 6
DDLLDL
26 Apr
@ Igea Virtus
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Vigor Lamezia
1–1
D
2 Apr
@ Savoia
0–2
L
29 Mar
vs Gelbison
1–2
L
22 Mar
@ Vibonese
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Nissa
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Milazzo – last 6
LLDLWD
26 Apr
vs Reggina
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Sambiase
0–1
L
15 Apr
vs Vigor Lamezia
0–0
D
8 Apr
@ Enna
1–3
L
22 Mar
vs Savoia
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Gela
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Messina and Milazzo.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Messina vs Milazzo?
On our numbers Messina have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Milazzo 23%.
How many goals will there be in Messina vs Milazzo?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Messina vs Milazzo?
Our predicted score is Messina 1–0 Milazzo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Messina vs Milazzo?
Messina vs Milazzo (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio San Filippo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Savoia3
Sancataldese0
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