Value bet: Gijón Industrial to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSan Martín to win ✗38% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · fair 1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.63
Gijón Industrial vs San Martín: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gijón Industrial welcome San Martín to Estadio Santa Cruz for a Tercera División RFEF Group 2 fixture on Sunday 8 March (12:00 WAT). In the table, Gijón Industrial are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; San Martín are 8th (upper half) with 15. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gijón Industrial 1.3 xG, San Martín 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gijón Industrial 35%, draw 27%, San Martín 38%.
Price worth noting: Gijón Industrial to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gijón Industrial 1–1 San Martín. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gijón Industrial35%fair 2.83 · @3.20
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.10
San Martín38%fair 2.63 · @2.10
2.42Expected goals
1.25Gijón Industrial xG
1.17San Martín xG
48%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Gijón Industrial 1.3 – 1.2 San Martín expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Martín to win✗
38%
2.63
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
–
Draw no bet
San Martín (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
San Martín +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Gijón Industrial to score first✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gijón Industrial / FT Gijón Industrial✗
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.63
–
Recent results
Gijón Industrial – last 2
LL
1 Mar
@ Covadonga
0–6
L
15 Feb
@ Llanera
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
4.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
San Martín – last 2
LW
1 Mar
vs Praviano
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Tuilla
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gijón Industrial and San Martín.
What is the prediction for Gijón Industrial vs San Martín?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Gijón Industrial vs San Martín?
On our numbers Gijón Industrial have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and San Martín 38%.
How many goals will there be in Gijón Industrial vs San Martín?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gijón Industrial vs San Martín?
Our predicted score is Gijón Industrial 1–1 San Martín, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Gijón Industrial vs San Martín?
Gijón Industrial vs San Martín (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Santa Cruz.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lenense1
Llanera3