Value bet: Caudal to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCaudal to win ✗38% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗4% · fair 28.05
Caudal vs Llanera: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Caudal welcome Llanera to Estadio Municipal Hermanos Antuña for a Tercera División RFEF Group 2 fixture on Sunday 8 March (17:30 WAT).
Current form
Llanera, last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Siero, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Caudal 1.5 xG, Llanera 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Caudal 38%, draw 25%, Llanera 38%.
Price worth noting: Caudal to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (51%, odds 2.00). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caudal 2–1 Llanera. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Caudal38%fair 2.66 · @3.00
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.20
Llanera38%fair 2.66 · @2.15
2.83Expected goals
1.53Caudal xG
1.29Llanera xG
50%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Caudal 1.5 – 1.3 Llanera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caudal to win✗
38%
2.66
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
–
Draw no bet
Caudal (draw no bet)✗
50%
2.00
–
Asian handicap
Llanera +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Caudal to score first✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caudal / FT Caudal✗
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
4%
28.05
–
Recent results
Caudal – last 2
WL
1 Mar
@ Real Titánico
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Sporting Gijón II
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Llanera – last 3
WDW
1 Mar
vs Siero
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ Navarro
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Gijón Industrial
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caudal and Llanera.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Caudal vs Llanera?
On our numbers Caudal have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Llanera 38%.
How many goals will there be in Caudal vs Llanera?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caudal vs Llanera?
Our predicted score is Caudal 2–1 Llanera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Caudal vs Llanera?
Caudal vs Llanera (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Hermanos Antuña.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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