Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultPraviano to win ✗61% · @1.67
Double chancePraviano or draw ✗82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.59
Praviano vs Lenense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lenense travel to face Praviano on Sunday 8 March in the Tercera División RFEF Group 2, with Estadio Santa Catalina the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT.
Current form
Praviano, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over San Martín, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Praviano 1.6 xG, Lenense 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Praviano 61%, draw 22%, Lenense 18%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Praviano to win (61%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Praviano 1–0 Lenense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Praviano61%fair 1.65 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.30
Lenense18%fair 5.62 · @4.80
2.39Expected goals
1.65Praviano xG
0.74Lenense xG
44%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Praviano 1.6 – 0.7 Lenense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Praviano to win✗
61%
1.65
1.67
Double chance
Praviano or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
–
Draw no bet
Praviano (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Lenense +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Praviano to score first✗
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Praviano / FT Praviano✗
36%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.59
–
Recent results
Praviano – last 3
WLL
1 Mar
@ San Martín
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Covadonga
1–3
L
15 Feb
@ Avilés Stadium
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lenense – last 2
LD
1 Mar
vs Tuilla
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Covadonga
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Praviano and Lenense.
Our pick is Praviano to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Praviano vs Lenense?
On our numbers Praviano have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lenense 18%.
How many goals will there be in Praviano vs Lenense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Praviano vs Lenense?
Our predicted score is Praviano 1–0 Lenense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Praviano vs Lenense?
Praviano vs Lenense (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Santa Catalina.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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