Value bet: Tuilla to win @ 2.45 – our chance 46% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTuilla to win ✓46% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗5% · fair 20.96
Tuilla vs Llanes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tuilla welcome Llanes to Estadio El Candín for a Tercera División RFEF Group 2 fixture on Thursday 2 April (16:00 WAT).
Current form
Tuilla, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Gijón Industrial, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Llanes, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to L'Entregu, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Tuilla, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.3 for Llanes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tuilla 1.7 xG, Llanes 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tuilla 46%, draw 25%, Llanes 29%.
Price worth noting: Tuilla to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (52%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tuilla 2–1 Llanes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tuilla46%fair 2.19 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.10
Llanes29%fair 3.43 · @2.55
2.76Expected goals
1.65Tuilla xG
1.11Llanes xG
49%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: Tuilla 1.7 – 1.1 Llanes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tuilla to win✓
46%
2.19
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
–
Draw no bet
Tuilla (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Llanes +1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Tuilla to score first✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tuilla / FT Tuilla✓
30%
3.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
5%
20.96
–
Recent results
Tuilla – last 6
WWLLWL
29 Mar
@ Gijón Industrial
2–0
W
22 Mar
vs Sporting Gijón II
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Praviano
1–3
L
8 Mar
vs L'Entregu
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Lenense
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ San Martín
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Llanes – last 3
LLD
22 Mar
@ L'Entregu
3–4
L
8 Mar
@ Mosconia
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Siero
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tuilla and Llanes.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Tuilla vs Llanes?
On our numbers Tuilla have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Llanes 29%.
How many goals will there be in Tuilla vs Llanes?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tuilla vs Llanes?
Our predicted score is Tuilla 2–1 Llanes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Tuilla vs Llanes?
Tuilla vs Llanes (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Candín.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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