Siero v Praviano Prediction & Expected Goals (2 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPraviano to win ✓41% · @2.75

Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.29

Siero vs Praviano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 2 April the Tercera División RFEF Group 2 brings Siero against Praviano at Estadio El Bayu. Kick-off: 18:15 WAT. In the table, Siero are 11th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Praviano are 9th (upper half) with 14. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Siero, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to San Martín, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.

Praviano, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Navarro, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Praviano, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.4 for Siero.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Siero 1.3 xG, Praviano 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Siero 34%, draw 25%, Praviano 41%.
Price worth noting: Praviano to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Siero 1–1 Praviano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Siero34%fair 2.95 · @2.40

Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00

Praviano41%fair 2.45 · @2.75

2.74Expected goals

1.27Siero xG

1.47Praviano xG

52%Both score

45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–19%

1–29%

1–08%

2–18%

0–27%

From our goals model: Siero 1.3 – 1.5 Praviano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Praviano to win ✓	41%	2.45	2.75 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	75%	1.34	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	52%	1.91	–
Draw no bet	Praviano (draw no bet) ✓	55%	1.83	–
Asian handicap	Siero +1 (Asian handicap)	74%	1.35	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	55%	1.83	1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	70%	1.42	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	86%	1.17	–
First team to score	Praviano to score first	50%	1.99	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	42%	2.39	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Praviano / FT Praviano ✗	25%	4.06	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.29	–

Siero – last 5

LLDLD

22 Mar	vs San Martín	1–2	L
15 Mar	@ Covadonga	0–5	L
8 Mar	vs Avilés Stadium	0–0	D
1 Mar	@ Llanera	0–1	L
15 Feb	@ Llanes	2–2	D

0.6Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

40%Both scored

60%Over 2.5

Praviano – last 6

DDWLWL

29 Mar	vs Navarro	0–0	D
22 Mar	@ Gijón Industrial	1–1	D
15 Mar	vs Tuilla	3–1	W
8 Mar	vs Lenense	0–1	L
1 Mar	@ San Martín	1–0	W
22 Feb	vs Covadonga	1–3	L

1.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Covadonga	10	7	2	1	+15	23
2	Sporting Gijón II	10	6	3	1	+8	21
3	Lealtad	10	6	2	2	+10	20
4	Condal	10	5	5	0	+9	20
5	Caudal	10	5	3	2	+3	18
6	Gijón Industrial	10	5	2	3	+5	17
7	Mosconia	10	4	4	2	+2	16
8	San Martín	10	4	3	3	-1	15
9	Praviano	10	4	2	4	+6	14
10	Langreo	10	3	3	4	-2	12
11	Siero	10	4	0	6	-3	12
12	Colunga	10	3	3	4	-7	12
13	Avilés Stadium	10	3	2	5	-5	11
14	Llanes	10	2	4	4	-6	10
15	Ceares	10	2	3	5	-2	9
16	Astur	10	0	6	4	-6	6
17	L'Entregu	10	1	2	7	-13	5
18	Andes	10	0	3	7	-13	3

Team

Pts

+15

+10

-1

-2

-3

-7

-5

-6

-2

-6

-13

-13

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Siero vs Praviano?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Siero vs Praviano?

On our numbers Siero have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Praviano 41%.

How many goals will there be in Siero vs Praviano?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Siero vs Praviano?

Our predicted score is Siero 1–1 Praviano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Siero vs Praviano?

Siero vs Praviano (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Bayu.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Siero v Praviano: numbers & prediction