Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Mosconia vs Covadonga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Thursday 2 April: Mosconia v Covadonga in the Tercera División RFEF Group 2, played at Estadio Marqués de La Vega de Anzo. In the table, Mosconia are 7th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Covadonga are 1st (leading the league) with 23.
Current form
Mosconia, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Avilés Stadium, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Covadonga, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Caudal, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Covadonga, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Mosconia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mosconia 1.2 xG, Covadonga 1.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mosconia 27%, draw 25%, Covadonga 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mosconia 1–1 Covadonga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mosconia27%fair 3.74 · @3.40
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.10
Covadonga48%fair 2.06 · @2.00
2.84Expected goals
1.16Mosconia xG
1.68Covadonga xG
48%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Mosconia 1.2 – 1.7 Covadonga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Covadonga to win✓
48%
2.06
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
–
Draw no bet
Covadonga (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Mosconia +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Covadonga to score first
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Covadonga / FT Covadonga✗
30%
3.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.23
–
Recent results
Mosconia – last 5
LDWLL
29 Mar
@ Avilés Stadium
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs Llanera
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Llanes
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Sporting Gijón II
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Colunga
0–1
L
0.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Covadonga – last 6
LWLWWD
22 Mar
@ Caudal
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Siero
5–0
W
8 Mar
@ Navarro
1–3
L
1 Mar
vs Gijón Industrial
6–0
W
22 Feb
@ Praviano
3–1
W
15 Feb
vs Lenense
1–1
D
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mosconia and Covadonga.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Mosconia vs Covadonga?
On our numbers Mosconia have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Covadonga 48%.
How many goals will there be in Mosconia vs Covadonga?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mosconia vs Covadonga?
Our predicted score is Mosconia 1–1 Covadonga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Mosconia vs Covadonga?
Mosconia vs Covadonga (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marqués de La Vega de Anzo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tuilla3
Llanera1