Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPortugalete to win ✓67% · @1.25
Double chancePortugalete or draw ✓87% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Portugalete vs Zamudio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:30 WAT, Thursday 19 March: Portugalete v Zamudio in the Tercera División RFEF Group 4, played at Estadio La Florida.
Current form
Zamudio, last 4: LLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Derio, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Portugalete 2.1 xG, Zamudio 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Portugalete 67%, draw 20%, Zamudio 13%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Portugalete to win (67%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portugalete 2–0 Zamudio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Portugalete67%fair 1.50 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @5.00
Zamudio13%fair 7.80 · @8.50
3.10Expected goals
2.15Portugalete xG
0.95Zamudio xG
58%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Portugalete 2.1 – 0.9 Zamudio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portugalete to win✓
67%
1.50
1.25
Double chance
Portugalete or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Portugalete (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Portugalete -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Portugalete to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Portugalete ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portugalete / FT Portugalete✓
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Portugalete – last 2
DW
15 Mar
@ Santurtzi
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Lagun Onak
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Zamudio – last 4
LLLW
8 Mar
@ Derio
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Touring
2–3
L
22 Feb
@ Deportivo Alavés III
0–5
L
15 Feb
vs Aurrerá Vitoria
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portugalete and Zamudio.
What is the prediction for Portugalete vs Zamudio?
Our pick is Portugalete to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Portugalete vs Zamudio?
On our numbers Portugalete have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Zamudio 13%.
How many goals will there be in Portugalete vs Zamudio?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portugalete vs Zamudio?
Our predicted score is Portugalete 2–0 Zamudio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Portugalete vs Zamudio?
Portugalete vs Zamudio (Tercera División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Florida.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Zarautz0
Pasaia KE3
Derio4
Durango0