Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.55
Lagun Onak vs Durango: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Durango travel to face Lagun Onak on Thursday 16 April in the Tercera División RFEF Group 4, with Estadio Garmendipe the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Lagun Onak are 13th, lower half, on 11 points after 10 matches; Durango are 6th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
Lagun Onak, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Zamudio, at home. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Durango, last 4: LLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Portugalete, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Lagun Onak, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Durango.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lagun Onak 1.3 xG, Durango 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lagun Onak 48%, draw 25%, Durango 26%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lagun Onak 1–1 Durango. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lagun Onak48%fair 2.07 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.25
Durango26%fair 3.80 · @4.00
2.42Expected goals
1.31Lagun Onak xG
1.11Durango xG
46%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Lagun Onak 1.3 – 1.1 Durango expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lagun Onak to win✗
48%
2.07
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
–
Draw no bet
Lagun Onak (draw no bet)✗
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
Durango +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Lagun Onak to score first✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lagun Onak / FT Lagun Onak✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.55
–
Recent results
Lagun Onak – last 3
WWL
1 Apr
vs Zamudio
5–0
W
22 Mar
vs Real Sociedad III
3–2
W
22 Feb
@ Portugalete
0–3
L
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Durango – last 4
LLLW
1 Apr
@ Portugalete
0–1
L
19 Mar
@ Derio
0–4
L
21 Feb
@ Leioa
1–2
L
14 Feb
vs Eibar III
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lagun Onak and Durango.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Lagun Onak vs Durango?
On our numbers Lagun Onak have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Durango 26%.
How many goals will there be in Lagun Onak vs Durango?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lagun Onak vs Durango?
Our predicted score is Lagun Onak 1–1 Durango, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Lagun Onak vs Durango?
Lagun Onak vs Durango (Tercera División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Garmendipe.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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