Double chanceReal Sociedad III or draw ✓79% · fair 1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Real Sociedad III vs Zamudio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Sociedad III welcome Zamudio to Campo José Luis Orbegozo for a Tercera División RFEF Group 4 fixture on Thursday 16 April (19:00 WAT).
Current form
Real Sociedad III, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Santurtzi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Zamudio, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 7–0 win over Pasaia KE, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Real Sociedad III, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Zamudio.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Sociedad III 1.9 xG, Zamudio 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Sociedad III 57%, draw 22%, Zamudio 21%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Real Sociedad III to win (57%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.76, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Sociedad III 2–1 Zamudio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Sociedad III57%fair 1.76 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.40
Zamudio21%fair 4.83 · @3.80
2.97Expected goals
1.89Real Sociedad III xG
1.08Zamudio xG
53%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Real Sociedad III 1.9 – 1.1 Zamudio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Sociedad III to win✓
57%
1.76
1.80
Double chance
Real Sociedad III or draw✓
79%
1.26
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
–
Draw no bet
Real Sociedad III (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Zamudio +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Real Sociedad III to score first
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Real Sociedad III ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Sociedad III / FT Real Sociedad III✓
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Real Sociedad III – last 6
WDWLWD
12 Apr
@ Santurtzi
3–0
W
2 Apr
@ Zarautz
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Pasaia KE
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Lagun Onak
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Deusto
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs San Ignacio
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Zamudio – last 6
WLWLLL
12 Apr
vs Pasaia KE
7–0
W
1 Apr
@ Lagun Onak
0–5
L
29 Mar
vs Deusto
2–0
W
19 Mar
@ Portugalete
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ Derio
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Touring
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Sociedad III and Zamudio.
What is the prediction for Real Sociedad III vs Zamudio?
Our pick is Real Sociedad III to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Real Sociedad III vs Zamudio?
On our numbers Real Sociedad III have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Zamudio 21%.
How many goals will there be in Real Sociedad III vs Zamudio?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Sociedad III vs Zamudio?
Our predicted score is Real Sociedad III 2–1 Zamudio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Real Sociedad III vs Zamudio?
Real Sociedad III vs Zamudio (Tercera División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo José Luis Orbegozo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
