Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultPeña Deportiva to win ✗59% · @1.44
Double chancePeña Deportiva or draw ✓81% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.59
Peña Deportiva vs Binissalem: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 February the Tercera División RFEF Group 11 brings Peña Deportiva against Binissalem at Campo Municipal del Santa Eulalia del Río. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Peña Deportiva 1.7 xG, Binissalem 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Peña Deportiva 59%, draw 23%, Binissalem 19%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (67%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.50, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Peña Deportiva 1–0 Binissalem. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Peña Deportiva59%fair 1.71 · @1.44
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.80
Binissalem19%fair 5.40 · @6.20
2.53Expected goals
1.66Peña Deportiva xG
0.87Binissalem xG
47%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Peña Deportiva 1.7 – 0.9 Binissalem expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Peña Deportiva
Binissalem
Attack vs Tercera División RFEF Group 11 average
+15%
+1%
Goals conceded vs average
-22%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.66
0.97
Our own ratings from every Tercera División RFEF Group 11 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Peña Deportiva to win✗
59%
1.71
1.44
Double chance
Peña Deportiva or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Peña Deportiva (draw no bet)
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Binissalem +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Peña Deportiva to score first
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Peña Deportiva / FT Peña Deportiva✗
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.59
–
Recent results
Peña Deportiva
No recent results on record.
Binissalem
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Peña Deportiva and Binissalem.
What is the prediction for Peña Deportiva vs Binissalem?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Peña Deportiva vs Binissalem?
On our numbers Peña Deportiva have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Binissalem 19%.
How many goals will there be in Peña Deportiva vs Binissalem?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Peña Deportiva vs Binissalem?
Our predicted score is Peña Deportiva 1–0 Binissalem, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Peña Deportiva vs Binissalem?
Peña Deportiva vs Binissalem (Tercera División RFEF Group 11) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Municipal del Santa Eulalia del Río.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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