Mallorca II 68%Draw 20%Platges Calvià 12%Expected goals 2.12 – 1.04
60%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultMallorca II to win ✓68% · @1.11
Double chanceMallorca II or draw ✓88% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Mallorca II vs Platges Calvià: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Sunday 15 February: Mallorca II v Platges Calvià in the Tercera División RFEF Group 11, played at Estadi Son Bibiloni.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mallorca II 2.1 xG, Platges Calvià 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mallorca II 68%, draw 20%, Platges Calvià 12%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (60%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mallorca II 2–1 Platges Calvià. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mallorca II68%fair 1.47 · @1.11
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @6.00
Platges Calvià12%fair 8.08 · @19.00
3.16Expected goals
2.12Mallorca II xG
1.04Platges Calvià xG
52%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Mallorca II 2.1 – 1.0 Platges Calvià expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mallorca II
Platges Calvià
Attack vs Tercera División RFEF Group 11 average
+69%
+31%
Goals conceded vs average
-15%
-24%
Our expected goals here
2.03
1.37
Our own ratings from every Tercera División RFEF Group 11 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mallorca II to win✓
68%
1.47
1.11
Double chance
Mallorca II or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Mallorca II (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Mallorca II -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Mallorca II to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Mallorca II ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mallorca II / FT Mallorca II✓
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.09
–
Recent results
Mallorca II
No recent results on record.
Platges Calvià
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mallorca II and Platges Calvià.
What is the prediction for Mallorca II vs Platges Calvià?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Mallorca II vs Platges Calvià?
On our numbers Mallorca II have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Platges Calvià 12%.
How many goals will there be in Mallorca II vs Platges Calvià?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mallorca II vs Platges Calvià?
Our predicted score is Mallorca II 2–1 Platges Calvià, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Mallorca II vs Platges Calvià?
Mallorca II vs Platges Calvià (Tercera División RFEF Group 11) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Son Bibiloni.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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