Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–112% · fair 8.32
Alcúdia vs Formentera: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alcúdia welcome Formentera to Estadi Municipal Els Arcs for a Tercera División RFEF Group 11 fixture on Sunday 15 February (13:00 WAT). In the table, Alcúdia are 12th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Formentera are 9th (upper half) with 14. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alcúdia 1.1 xG, Formentera 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alcúdia 30%, draw 28%, Formentera 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alcúdia 1–1 Formentera. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alcúdia30%fair 3.34 · @2.90
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @2.80
Formentera42%fair 2.36 · @2.38
2.44Expected goals
1.06Alcúdia xG
1.38Formentera xG
47%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–09%
0–28%
From our goals model: Alcúdia 1.1 – 1.4 Formentera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Alcúdia
Formentera
Attack vs Tercera División RFEF Group 11 average
-13%
-0%
Goals conceded vs average
+22%
-20%
Our expected goals here
1.09
1.51
Our own ratings from every Tercera División RFEF Group 11 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Formentera to win
42%
2.36
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win
72%
1.38
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
53%
1.88
–
Draw no bet
Formentera (draw no bet)
59%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Alcúdia +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
57%
1.74
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Formentera to score first
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Formentera / FT Formentera
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
12%
8.32
–
Recent results
Alcúdia
No recent results on record.
Formentera
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alcúdia and Formentera.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Alcúdia vs Formentera?
On our numbers Alcúdia have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Formentera 42%.
How many goals will there be in Alcúdia vs Formentera?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alcúdia vs Formentera?
Our predicted score is Alcúdia 1–1 Formentera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Alcúdia vs Formentera?
Alcúdia vs Formentera (Tercera División RFEF Group 11) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Municipal Els Arcs.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Peña Deportiva1
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Felanitx0