Value bet: San Marcial to win @ 2.45 – our chance 45% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSan Marcial to win ✓45% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.94
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.56
Autol vs San Marcial: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 February the Tercera División RFEF Group 16 brings Autol against San Marcial at Estadio La Manzanera. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Autol 1.0 xG, San Marcial 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Autol 28%, draw 27%, San Marcial 45%.
Price worth noting: San Marcial to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Autol 1–1 San Marcial. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Autol28%fair 3.51 · @2.70
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @2.95
San Marcial45%fair 2.23 · @2.45
2.58Expected goals
1.04Autol xG
1.54San Marcial xG
48%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Autol 1.0 – 1.5 San Marcial expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Marcial to win✓
45%
2.23
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
–
Draw no bet
San Marcial (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Autol +1 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
San Marcial to score first✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Marcial / FT San Marcial✓
29%
3.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.56
–
Recent results
Autol
No recent results on record.
San Marcial
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Autol and San Marcial.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Autol vs San Marcial?
On our numbers Autol have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 27% and San Marcial 45%.
How many goals will there be in Autol vs San Marcial?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Autol vs San Marcial?
Our predicted score is Autol 1–1 San Marcial, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Autol vs San Marcial?
Autol vs San Marcial (Tercera División RFEF Group 16) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Manzanera.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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