Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultVarea to win ✗64% · @1.25
Double chanceVarea or draw ✓86% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 13.64
Varea vs Yagüe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Varea welcome Yagüe to Estadio Municipal de Varea for a Tercera División RFEF Group 16 fixture on Sunday 15 February (12:00 WAT). In the table, Varea are 5th, upper half, on 19 points after 10 matches; Yagüe are 12th (lower half) with 12.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Varea 1.8 xG, Yagüe 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Varea 64%, draw 21%, Yagüe 14%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Varea to win (64%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Varea 1–0 Yagüe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Varea64%fair 1.55 · @1.25
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @4.60
Yagüe14%fair 7.06 · @9.00
2.63Expected goals
1.83Varea xG
0.80Yagüe xG
47%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Varea 1.8 – 0.8 Yagüe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Varea to win✗
64%
1.55
1.25
Double chance
Varea or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
–
Draw no bet
Varea (draw no bet)
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Varea -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Varea to score first✓
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Varea ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Varea / FT Varea✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
7%
13.64
–
Recent results
Varea
No recent results on record.
Yagüe
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Varea and Yagüe.
Our pick is Varea to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Varea vs Yagüe?
On our numbers Varea have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Yagüe 14%.
How many goals will there be in Varea vs Yagüe?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Varea vs Yagüe?
Our predicted score is Varea 1–0 Yagüe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Varea vs Yagüe?
Varea vs Yagüe (Tercera División RFEF Group 16) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Varea.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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