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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sonseca v La Solana: numbers & prediction

Tercera División RFEF Group 18 · Spain · Estadio Martín Juanes

Sonseca

LDLWD
3–2
FT
Sonseca 36%Draw 27%La Solana 37% Expected goals 1.18 – 1.09
61%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.50Odds
1

Value bet: Sonseca to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultLa Solana to win ✗37% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.90

Sonseca vs La Solana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sonseca welcome La Solana to Estadio Martín Juanes for a Tercera División RFEF Group 18 fixture on Sunday 22 March (17:00 WAT).

Current form

Sonseca, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Pedroñeras, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.

La Solana, last 4: DLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Toledo, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Sonseca, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for La Solana.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sonseca 1.2 xG, La Solana 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sonseca 36%, draw 27%, La Solana 37%.
  • Price worth noting: Sonseca to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sonseca 1–1 La Solana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sonseca36%fair 2.77 · @3.10
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.10
La Solana37%fair 2.70 · @2.15
2.27Expected goals
1.18Sonseca xG
1.09La Solana xG
47%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Sonseca 1.2 – 1.1 La Solana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLa Solana to win ✗37%2.702.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.87–
Draw no betLa Solana (draw no bet) ✗51%1.97–
Asian handicapLa Solana +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗61%1.631.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗92%1.09–
First team to scoreSonseca to score first ✗47%2.14–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sonseca / FT Sonseca ✗22%4.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11%8.90–

Recent results

Sonseca – last 5

LDLWD
15 Mar@ Pedroñeras0–1L
8 Marvs Toledo1–1D
1 Mar@ Calvo Sotelo1–3L
22 Febvs Cazalegas3–0W
15 Feb@ San Clemente2–2D
1.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

La Solana – last 4

DLLD
15 Marvs Toledo0–0D
8 Mar@ Cazalegas1–2L
1 Marvs Huracán Balazote0–1L
21 Feb@ Guadalajara II0–0D
0.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sonseca and La Solana.

Sonseca vs La Solana head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 18 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Manchego10802+1024
2Toledo10712+1222
3Villacañas10532+918
4CD Villa10604+218
5Villarrobledo10451+617
6Illescas10523+117
7Tarancón10433+315
8San Clemente10433+115
9Noblejas10424-114
10Torrijos10424-114
11Villarrubia10343-113
12Almansa10334+212
13Marchamalo10334-212
14La Solana10406-212
15Socuéllamos10244-210
16Huracán Balazote10217-147
17Quintanar del Rey10136-86
18Guadalajara II10037-153

More Tercera División RFEF Group 18 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sonseca vs La Solana?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Sonseca vs La Solana?

On our numbers Sonseca have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and La Solana 37%.

How many goals will there be in Sonseca vs La Solana?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sonseca vs La Solana?

Our predicted score is Sonseca 1–1 La Solana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Sonseca vs La Solana?

Sonseca vs La Solana (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Martín Juanes.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.