Toledo 64%Draw 23%Albacete II 13%Expected goals 1.83 – 0.69
64%
Betarazi pick
Toledo to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultToledo to win ✗64% · @1.44
Double chanceToledo or draw ✓87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.78
Toledo vs Albacete II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Albacete II travel to face Toledo on Sunday 22 March in the Tercera División RFEF Group 18, with Estadio Municipal Salto del Caballo the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.
Current form
Toledo, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with La Solana, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Albacete II, last 4: WWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Huracán Balazote, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Toledo 1.8 xG, Albacete II 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 44%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Toledo 64%, draw 23%, Albacete II 13%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Toledo to win (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Toledo 1–0 Albacete II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Toledo64%fair 1.55 · @1.44
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.60
Albacete II13%fair 7.77 · @7.00
2.52Expected goals
1.83Toledo xG
0.69Albacete II xG
44%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Toledo 1.8 – 0.7 Albacete II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Toledo to win✗
64%
1.55
1.44
Double chance
Toledo or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
–
Draw no bet
Toledo (draw no bet)
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Toledo -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Toledo to score first✗
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Toledo ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Toledo / FT Toledo✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.78
–
Recent results
Toledo – last 5
DDWWW
15 Mar
@ La Solana
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Sonseca
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Cazalegas
6–0
W
22 Feb
@ Huracán Balazote
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Guadalajara II
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Albacete II – last 4
WWLD
8 Mar
@ Huracán Balazote
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Guadalajara II
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ Marchamalo
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Azuqueca
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Toledo and Albacete II.
Our pick is Toledo to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Toledo vs Albacete II?
On our numbers Toledo have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Albacete II 13%.
How many goals will there be in Toledo vs Albacete II?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toledo vs Albacete II?
Our predicted score is Toledo 1–0 Albacete II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Toledo vs Albacete II?
Toledo vs Albacete II (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Salto del Caballo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.