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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cazalegas v Villarrobledo: numbers & prediction

Tercera División RFEF Group 18 · Spain · Ciudad Deportiva Ebora Formación

Cazalegas

WLLD
0–2
FT

Villarrobledo

DWW
Cazalegas 20%Draw 28%Villarrobledo 52% Expected goals 0.77 – 1.37
80%
Betarazi pick

Villarrobledo or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultVillarrobledo to win ✓52% · @1.95
Double chanceVillarrobledo or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.76

Cazalegas vs Villarrobledo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Cazalegas welcome Villarrobledo to Ciudad Deportiva Ebora Formación for a Tercera División RFEF Group 18 fixture on Sunday 22 March (12:00 WAT).

Current form

Cazalegas, last 4: WLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over La Solana, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Villarrobledo, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Huracán Balazote, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Villarrobledo, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Cazalegas.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cazalegas 0.8 xG, Villarrobledo 1.4 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cazalegas 20%, draw 28%, Villarrobledo 52%.
  • Lower-risk option: Villarrobledo or draw (80%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Villarrobledo or draw (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cazalegas 0–1 Villarrobledo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cazalegas20%fair 4.95 · @3.60
Draw28%fair 3.58 · @3.00
Villarrobledo52%fair 1.93 · @1.95
2.14Expected goals
0.77Cazalegas xG
1.37Villarrobledo xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–116%
1–112%
0–012%
0–211%
1–09%
1–29%

From our goals model: Cazalegas 0.8 – 1.4 Villarrobledo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVillarrobledo to win ✓52%1.931.95
Double chanceVillarrobledo or draw ✓80%1.251.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.981.91
Draw no betVillarrobledo (draw no bet) ✓72%1.39–
Asian handicapCazalegas +1 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreVillarrobledo to score first ✓57%1.77–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Villarrobledo / FT Villarrobledo ✗30%3.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.76–

Recent results

Cazalegas – last 4

WLLD
8 Marvs La Solana2–1W
1 Mar@ Toledo0–6L
22 Feb@ Sonseca0–3L
15 Febvs Huracán Balazote1–1D
0.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Villarrobledo – last 3

DWW
15 Marvs Huracán Balazote1–1D
1 Marvs Marchamalo2–1W
15 Febvs Villarrubia1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cazalegas and Villarrobledo.

Cazalegas vs Villarrobledo head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 18 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Manchego10802+1024
2Toledo10712+1222
3Villacañas10532+918
4CD Villa10604+218
5Villarrobledo10451+617
6Illescas10523+117
7Tarancón10433+315
8San Clemente10433+115
9Noblejas10424-114
10Torrijos10424-114
11Villarrubia10343-113
12Almansa10334+212
13Marchamalo10334-212
14La Solana10406-212
15Socuéllamos10244-210
16Huracán Balazote10217-147
17Quintanar del Rey10136-86
18Guadalajara II10037-153

More Tercera División RFEF Group 18 predictions

League hub
FT Sonseca3 La Solana2 136%3.10X27%3.10237%2.15 1.2–1.1xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 61%@1.50 ✗
FT Toledo0 Albacete II0 164%1.44X23%3.60213%7.00 1.8–0.7xG 1Toledo to win 64%@1.44 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cazalegas vs Villarrobledo?

Our pick is Villarrobledo or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Cazalegas vs Villarrobledo?

On our numbers Cazalegas have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Villarrobledo 52%.

How many goals will there be in Cazalegas vs Villarrobledo?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cazalegas vs Villarrobledo?

Our predicted score is Cazalegas 0–1 Villarrobledo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Cazalegas vs Villarrobledo?

Cazalegas vs Villarrobledo (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Ciudad Deportiva Ebora Formación.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.