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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Baku Sportinq v Safa Baku: numbers & prediction

Birinci Dasta · Azerbaidjan
0–0
FT
Baku Sportinq 26%Draw 24%Safa Baku 51% Expected goals 1.09 – 1.77
52%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.91 · bookmaker 1.90 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.90Odds

Picks by market

ResultSafa Baku to win ✗51% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗5% · fair 18.90

Baku Sportinq vs Safa Baku: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Safa Baku travel to face Baku Sportinq on Thursday 16 April in the Birinci Dasta – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT.

Current form

Baku Sportinq, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over MOIK, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Safa Baku, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Səbail, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.

Momentum favours Safa Baku, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Baku Sportinq.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Baku Sportinq 1.1 xG, Safa Baku 1.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Baku Sportinq 26%, draw 24%, Safa Baku 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (52%, odds 1.90). Most likely score in line with that pick: Baku Sportinq 1–2 Safa Baku. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Baku Sportinq26%fair 3.89 · @3.25
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.30
Safa Baku51%fair 1.97 · @2.00
2.86Expected goals
1.09Baku Sportinq xG
1.77Safa Baku xG
49%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–06%
2–16%

From our goals model: Baku Sportinq 1.1 – 1.8 Safa Baku expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSafa Baku to win ✗51%1.972.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.311.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.94–
Draw no betSafa Baku (draw no bet)66%1.51–
Asian handicapBaku Sportinq +1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.911.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreSafa Baku to score first ✗58%1.71–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT Safa Baku / FT Safa Baku ✗33%3.05–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗5%18.90–

Recent results

Baku Sportinq – last 6

WLDWLD
8 Aprvs MOIK3–1W
2 Apr@ Səbail0–1L
18 Marvs Mingəçevir1–1D
12 Mar@ Difai Ağsu3–1W
5 Marvs Mingəçevir0–1L
24 Feb@ Səbail0–0D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Safa Baku – last 6

WLWWWW
9 Aprvs Səbail2–1W
3 Apr@ Mingəçevir2–5L
18 Marvs Şahdağ1–0W
11 Mar@ Şimal2–0W
5 Marvs Şahdağ2–1W
25 Feb@ Difai Ağsu8–1W
2.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Baku Sportinq and Safa Baku.

Baku Sportinq vs Safa Baku head-to-head page →

Birinci Dasta table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cəbrayıl7511+1316
2Şahdağ6501+1215
3MOIK7421+814
4Karvan7412+613
5Səbail7331+312
6Şimal7223-18
7Xankəndi FK7133-36
8Zaqatala7124-155
9Mingəçevir6114-94
10Baku Sportinq7016-141

More Birinci Dasta predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Baku Sportinq vs Safa Baku?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.

Who will win Baku Sportinq vs Safa Baku?

On our numbers Baku Sportinq have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Safa Baku 51%.

How many goals will there be in Baku Sportinq vs Safa Baku?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Baku Sportinq vs Safa Baku?

Our predicted score is Baku Sportinq 1–2 Safa Baku, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Baku Sportinq vs Safa Baku?

Baku Sportinq vs Safa Baku (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.